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Liverpool's Darwin Nunez celebrates after scoring the opening goal against Aston Villa, and we offer a look at the Premier League title odds.
Liverpool's Darwin Nunez celebrates after scoring the opening goal against Aston Villa. Photo by Peter Byrne/PA Images/Alamy Images via Sipa USA.

Liverpool put together a magical performance in Gameweek 12, coming back from down 2-1 against Southampton to collect the three points and move to minus-money favorites to win the league by the latest Premier League odds.

Meanwhile, City lost their third straight league match, falling to eight points back of the league leaders.

Arsenal finally recovered for a win, as did Chelsea. They now sit joint-third, one point back of City.

Liverpool are the most complete team in England. They've conceded an absurd eight goals all season, and their odds continue to shorten at our best sports betting apps as a result.

Premier League title odds

Premier League favorites

Liverpool (-120)

Liverpool just keep ticking along, albeit facing a bit of drama in their Gameweek 12 victory. Liverpool looked asleep at the wheel until they slammed the pedal to the floor and dominated Southampton.

The Reds continue to make the Gameweek 4 home defeat a distant memory as they progress, and the way they've responded is a testament to Arne Slot's influence at his new club.

Liverpool manager Arne Slot reacts during the Premier League match against Chelsea, and his club headlines our Premier League title odds.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot reacts during the Premier League match against Chelsea. Photo by Xinhua via Sipa USA.

Liverpool have played a noticeably different, more methodical style of football that resulted in six clean sheets through 12 games.

Their odds shortened from +800 since Gameweek 4 to now minus money. Are we witnessing the beginning of the Slot Era?

Best odds: -120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 54.55%

Man City (+350)

Last year, for the fourth straight season, City emerged as champions, clinching it on the final matchday as Arsenal took them to the wire.

City look terrible, though, since the season-ending injury to world-class midfielder Rodri. They were just barely squeaking out results for weeks, and now they're unable to do even that.

Manchester City
Manchester City's John Stones celebrates scoring their side's second goal of the game against Wolves. Photo by Nick Potts/PA Images/Alamy Images via Sipa USA.

There are definite cracks in the armor. The biggest crack to fill is, of course, the absence of Rodri. Can City bounce back from this spell of poor form, or will this be a theme for a large portion of the campaign?

Best odds: +350 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 22.22%

My Premier League team to watch

Arsenal (+333)

Arsenal have failed to capitalize on back-to-back strong seasons, finishing as the first runners-up behind City. However, the Gunners look to be in their best spot yet to win it all.

Arsenal are loaded with world-class talent, but they aren't quite rising to the occasion thus far.

The Gunners suffered an ugly defeat in Gameweek 8 and conceded twice against Liverpool without world-class centerback William Saliba. They then fell once again to a Newcastle side that had previously taken only two points from its last five matches.

They managed to take a draw against Chelsea, but Arsenal could be slipping out of contention.

Best odds: +333 via bet365 | Implied probability: 23.09%

2024 Premier League odds over time

(Latest odds via DraftKings)

TeamOpening odds (May 20)Odds on Aug. 15Odds on Nov. 10
Man City-125+137+350
Arsenal+300+162+330
Liverpool+800+700-120
Chelsea+1600+2000+1600
Manchester United +2000+2000+10000
Newcastle +3300+3300+10000
Tottenham+3300+2500+4000
Aston Villa+5000+6600+20000
Brighton+10000+15000+15000
West Ham United+15000+20000+100000

Past Premier League champions

TeamYearPreseason odds
Man City2024-150
Man City2023-140
Man City2022-145
Man City2021+150
Liverpool2020+300
Man City2019-150
Man City2018+175
Chelsea2017+600
Leicester2016+500000
Chelsea2015+185

How to read Premier League title odds

Premier League title odds reflect the probability of each English Premier League team winning the championship and are typically presented in American odds format (+XXX). Lower odds signify favoritism, while higher odds indicate underdog status.

A team with +750 odds to win the Premier League is given an 11.76% implied probability of doing so with a $10 bet returning a $75 profit with a victory. A team with +1500 odds would have higher or longer odds, and a lower implied probability of 6.25%, but a win on a $10 bet would return a profit of $150.

Bettors should consider team performance, roster strength, injuries, and historical trends when assessing odds. By comparing odds across sportsbooks, individuals can make informed betting decisions during the Premier League season.

Premier League title FAQs

Who are the premier league favorites?

Liverpool are the 2024-25 Premier League title favorites with odds of -120 at DraftKings. Those odds imply a 54.55% win probability, and a winning bet would pay $18.33 on a $10 wager for a profit of $8.33.

Who won the Premier League last year?

Man City are coming off four successive Premier League titles and will seek a fifth consecutive championship in 2025.

When will the Premier League start in 2024-25? 

The 2024-25 Premier League season got underway on Aug. 16.

Who was promoted to the Premier League in 2024-25?

Leicester City, Ipswich Town, and Southampton joined the Premier League for this season after earning promotion via the EFL Championship. They replaced Luton Town, Burnley, and Sheffield United.

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