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Bayern Munich vs. Celtic Prediction, Expert Pick & Odds Today: Champions League Playoff Second Leg

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: February 18, 2025 2:08 PM EST • 3 min 8 sec read.

Our Bayern Munich vs. Celtic prediction and expert pick.
Pictured: Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane after scoring against Celtic. Photo by Andrew Milligan via Imagn Images

Celtic face a daunting challenge during Tuesday's second leg of their Champions League Knockout Phase playoff matchup against Bayern Munich.

Bayern Munich revealed its flaws during the opening group phase, but the club is typically automatic at home during this stage, especially when facing a Scottish side. 

I expect that to continue in our Bayern Munich vs. Celtic prediction and expert pick, with Harry Kane excelling again under Allianz Arena's bright lights (3 p.m. ET, Paramount+).  

Bayern Munich vs. Celtic predictions

Champions League picks are based on the odds at our best soccer betting sites. Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • Bayern Munich vs. Celtic match pick: Bayern Munich to win & Celtic not to score (+105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Bayern Munich vs. Celtic best pick: Harry Kane 2+ goals (+188 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Who will win Bayern Munich vs. Celtic?

Bayern Munich to win, Celtic not to score ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Celtic is battling a ton of impediments going into this one, both historically and in terms of overall quality. Here's a few tidbits to better showcase what the Scottish visitors are up against:

  • Bayern Munich have lost just one home game all season, which occurred against Bayer Leverkusen in the German Cup in December when Manuel Neuer was sent off early
  • Bayern have never lost at home against a Scottish team, winning seven and drawing three
  • Bayern have reached the Round of 16 in 16 consecutive Champions Leagues
  • Celtic have never progressed in the Champions League after losing the first leg at home
  • Celtic have never won in Germany, a run of 15 straight
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How can you find the best betting value for Bayern Munich vs. Celtic? 

You must squeeze exceptionally hard to get some juice out of this contest.

Bayern Munich are gargantuan -600 moneyline favorites entering proceedings against the Scottish champions. To elicit some value, I've turned to a combination play that would see the German giants win at home while keeping a clean sheet.

I had Bayern to win by two goals in the first leg, and it looked as though it would pay out until Daizen Maeda scored with 11 minutes remaining. Bayern to win by at least two goals at home on Tuesday would only profit $4.17 on a winning $10 bet. 

Celtic failed to score a goal in two of their four away contests in the opening round and bagged one in their 7-1 loss to Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park.  

The other palatable game pick has Bayern Munich winning by at least three goals (+100). Those +100 odds imply a 50% probability. However, if Celtic manage to keep things tight in the first half — a feasible scenario — I'm not sure about Bayern breaking it open. 

That's why I chose to go with Bayern while keeping a clean sheet. 

Best odds: +105 via BetMGM | Implied win probability: 48.78%

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Best Bayern Munich vs. Celtic pick

Harry Kane 2+ goals ⭐⭐⭐

I backed Kane to score at Celtic Park last week, and he dually obliged. I'm asking him to do one better at home. It's a match conducive to a Kane brace, as he knows British opposition like each blade of grass on the Allianz turf. 

And at some point, Celtic must force the issue. They won't do that until desperation hits, but Kane shouldn't need Celtic to assert themselves to bag a couple. He's scored seven goals in eight Champions League matches, with 29 in 30 in all competitions. Six of his seven multi-goal games thus far occurred at the raucous and friendly confines of Allianz Arena. 

For Celtic, I feel that stopping Kane is the equivalent of a native English speaker being asked to do a presentation in French. It probably won't go well. A winning $10 bet will profit $18.80. 

Best odds: +188 via BetMGM | Implied win probability: 34.72%

Bayern Munich vs. Celtic odds

See the latest Champions League odds on all of today's other matchups.

When is Bayern Munich vs. Celtic?

  • When: Tuesday, Feb. 18
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Allianz Arena (Munich, Germany)
  • How to watch: Paramount+, DAZN
  • Weather: 27 degrees, 10 mph to 15 mph, 0% chance of precipitation
  • Favorite: Bayern Munich (-600 via bet365)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.