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Grammys Song of the Year Odds: Billie Eilish Lapping the Field in Odds Race

Philip Wood

Last Updated: February 1, 2025 10:17 AM EST • 2 min 47 sec read.

Billie Eilish performs “What Was I Made For?” from “Barbie” during the 96th Oscars. Photo by Jack Gruber / Imagn via USA Today.

Since the Grammy odds were first released, “Birds of a Feather” by Billie Eilish has maintained its status as the favorite to win Song of the Year. Despite the song's status as a healthy favorite, three other songs have odds of +750 or shorter to win.

And while there are four songs nominated with odds of +1300 or longer, they were performed by artists such as Beyonce, Taylor Swift, Post Malone, and Sabrina Carpenter, so it would hardly be shocking to see any of them win. Below I dissect the chances that “Birds of Feather” takes home the Song of the Year Award and which songs are contenders to pull the upset.

The Grammy Awards take place at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The event will be broadcast live on CBS and it will be live streamed and available on demand on Paramount+; be sure to check out the latest Grammys odds across every major category.

Here's a look at the latest Song of the Year odds, courtesy FanDuel Canada (updated Jan. 22 at 12:30 p.m. ET):

Song of the Year odds

SongOddsImplied ProbabilityProfit on $10 Bet
Birds of a Feather (Billie Eilish)-18064.29%$5.56
Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar)+48017.24%$48
Good Luck, Babe! (Chappell Roan)+55015.38%$55
Die with a Smile (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars)+75011.76%$75
A Bar Song [Tispy] (Shaboozey)+85010.53%$85
Texas Hold 'Em (Beyonce)+13007.14%$130

Song of the Year favorite

"Birds of a Feather," Billie Eilish (-180)

Billie Eilish is looking to take home Song of the Year for the second consecutive year, after winning the award for “What Was I Made For?” in 2024. An artist hasn’t won Song of the Year at back-to-back Grammys since Bette Midler won for “Wind Beneath My Wings” and “From a Distance” in 1990 and 1991.

While there is always a concern that voters may look to spread the wealth, this feels like the best spot for Eilish to win on Grammy night. She’s a big underdog to win Record of the Year for the same song, as “Espresso” by Sabrina Carpenter is a heavy favorite. And while she opened as the favorite for Album of the Year, Beyonce may be on a dream run with Cowboy Carter as voters try to get her long overdue Album of the Year award.

Song of the Year underdog

"Not Like Us," Kendrick Lamar (+480)

“Not Like Us” has stormed into second position, after opening behind “Good Luck, Babe!” by Chappell Roan. The song by Kendrick Lamar is heavily favored to win Rap Song of the Year, so it would be shocking to see the song go unawarded on Grammy night. But are voters willing to award Kendrick twice for the same song?

To this day, “This is America” by Childish Gambino is the only rap song to win Song of the Year. So for “Not Like Us” to win, it would have to enter largely uncharted territory.

"Good Luck, Babe!," Chappell Roan (+550)

Chappell Roan’s odds of winning this award haven’t changed, but “Good Luck, Babe!” is now the third-favorite after the late surge from “Not Like Us.”

It’s hard to know what to make of this, but the heavy favorite to win Best New Artist has a chance of pulling a somewhat major upset in this category. At the end of the day, “Good Luck, Babe!” seems to be fading while other songs are surging, but if you’re looking for an underdog, this is one of the wagers where the risk would be worth the reward.

My Pick

It seems like this is a two-horse race right now.

Does “Not Like Us” have enough momentum to pull off the upset, especially with Kendrick Lamar performing at the Super Bowl just one week after the Grammys? It might. However, I’m going to play this safe

“Birds of a Feather” has been favored throughout awards season, and Billie Eilish has been incredibly successful at the Grammys. I’m not going to bet against her now.

My Pick: "Birds of a Feather", Billie Eilish (-180)

2025 Grammys betting odds & predictions

Grammy Awards FAQs

When will the 2024 Grammy Awards take place?

The Grammy Awards will take place on Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at 8 p.m. ET.

Where are the Grammy Awards held?

The Grammys will be held at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.

Who will host the Grammy Awards?

No host has been announced for the Grammys at this time.

How can I watch the Grammy Awards?

The Grammys will air live on CBS, and they will stream on Paramount+. They can also be found on demand on Paramount+.

Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.