Grammys Best New Artist Odds 2025: Chappell Roan in a Class of Her Own
Can anyone stop Chappell Roan from winning Best New Artist at the 67th Annual Grammy Awards?
The 26-year-old artist from Missouri currently has odds of -550 to win this award; none of the other other nominees – Sabrina,Carpenter, Shaboozey, Raye, Teddy Swims, Benson Boone, Doechii and Khruangbin – has odds better than +750.
Is it worth taking a stab at any of them to win the award, or does Chappell Roan have this locked down? Below, I take a look at the favorite, the top underdog, and a few longshots for this award.
The Grammy Awards take place at 8 p.m. ET on
Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The event will be
broadcast live on CBS and it will be live streamed and available on demand on
Paramount+; be sure to check out the latest Grammys odds across every major category.
Here's a look at the latest Best New Artist odds, courtesy FanDuel Canada (updated Jan. 30 at 9 a.m. ET):
Best New Artist odds
| Artist | Odds | Implied Probability | Profit on $10 Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chappell Roan | -430 | 81.13% | $2.33 |
| Sabrina Carpenter | +250 | 28.57% | $25 |
| Shaboozey | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Raye | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Teddy Swims | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
| Benson Boone | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
Best New Artist favorites
Chappell Roan (-430)
Roan is up for six Grammy awards this year, including Best New Artist, Album of the Year, Song of the Year, Record of the Year, Best Pop Vocal Album, and Best Pop Solo Performance. While the nominations are great, Roan expects to be leaving the Grammys with some hardware, as she is favored in this category, and is about even with Carpenter for Best Pop Vocal Album.
The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess has garnered rave reviews, but the price for Roan may be a little high because of her competition. When you consider the year that Sabrina Carpenter had, this isn’t nearly as much of a lock as “Not Like Us” by Kendrick Lamar is to win Best Rap Song. So while Roan is rightfully favored in this category, I would feel much more comfortable taking her if the price was closer to +100.
Best New Artist underdog
Sabrina Carpenter (+250)
When the odds first came out, Carpenter was +1000 to win this award. Now, with the ceremony just three days away, she’s sitting at +250. She’s no longer a significant longshot when compared to Roan, having closed the gap considerably.
The one thing that may actually be working against Carpenter is the fact that she is favored in so many other categories. If voters elect to spread the wealth, then this could be Roan’s only chance to win, while Carpenter’s song “Espresso” is -430 to win Record of the Year.
Then again, this could just be Carpenter’s year. If voters decide to pick Carpenter across the board, she could easily garner the support she needs here.
Best New Artist long shots
Shaboozey (+1300)
Shaboozey has the third-shortest odds to win this award, though FanDuel isn’t giving him much of a chance.
He currently sits at +1300, and it seems that his best chances of winning on Grammy night are for either Country Song of the Year or Best Country Solo Performance. And while “A Bar Song (Tipsy)” spent 19 weeks at number on on the Billboard Hot 100 this year, people aren’t talking about any of his other songs the way they’re talking about the depth of the albums of Chappell Roan and Sabrina Carpenter.
Raye (+1600)
Raye’s songwriting credits include songs for Charli XCX, Beyonce, Hailee Steinfeld, David Guetta, Ellie Goulding, Jennifer Lopez, and more. However, Raye’s own work has received less mainstream success, which is ultimately her biggest obstacle ahead of the Grammys.
Will voters really choose her over household names like Sabrina Carpenter and Chappell Roan? At +1600, there isn’t much value in taking a chance on Raye when Shaboozey seems much more likely to win and is sitting at +1300.
My Pick
I liked Sabrina Carpenter when her odds were +1000, and I liker her even more now.
It’s not that Chappell Roan can’t win. In fact, she’s likely to take home this award. However, there is no value in taking her as a massive favorite when Carpenter has a lot of momentum, is favored in numerous categories, and was gobbling up headlines and peaking towards the end of 2024.
What was key about Carpenter grabbing the headlines when she did, is that was exactly when Grammy voters were casting their final ballots.
My Pick: Sabrina Carpenter (+250)
2025 Grammys betting odds & predictions
- Grammys betting predictions
- Grammys odds
- Grammys Best New Artist odds
- Grammys Best Rap Song odds
- Grammys Album of the Year odds
- Grammys Song of the Year odds
Grammy Awards FAQs
When will the 2024 Grammy Awards take place?
The Grammy Awards will take place on Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at 8 p.m. ET.
Where are the Grammy Awards held?
The Grammys will be held at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.
Who will host the Grammy Awards?
No host has been announced for the Grammys at this time.
How can I watch the Grammy Awards?
The Grammys will air live on CBS, and they will stream on Paramount+. They can also be found on demand on Paramount+.
Related Articles
