Grammys Album of the Year Odds 2025: Beyonce's Cowboy Carter the One to Beat
Cowboy Carter has mounted a late surge and now has the shortest odds to win Album of the Year at the 67th Annual Grammy Awards. Will Beyonce finally break through and win Album of the Year, or will the award once again go to someone else?
Other nominees include Billie Eilish, Taylor Swift, Charli XCX, Chappell Roan, Sabrina Carpenter, Andre 3000, and Jacob Collier. Who will ultimately take home the biggest award of the night? Below I take a look at some favorites, an underdog, and a long shot that may be worth a look.
The Grammy Awards take place at 8 p.m. ET on
Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The event will be
broadcast live on CBS and it will be live streamed and available on demand on
Paramount+; be sure to check out the latest Grammys odds across every major category.
Here's a look at the latest Album of the Year odds, courtesy FanDuel Canada (updated Jan. 30 at 9 a.m. ET):
Album of the Year odds
| Album | Odds | Implied Probability | Profit on $10 Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit Me Hard and Soft (Billie Eilish) | +105 | 48.78% | $10.50 |
| Cowboy Carter (Beyonce) | +160 | 38.46% | $16 |
| Brat (Charli XCX) | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess (Chappell Roan) | +900 | 10.00% | $90 |
| The Tortured Poets Department (Taylor Swift) | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Short n' Sweet (Sabrina Carpenter) | +2600 | 3.70% | $260 |
Album of the Year favorites
Billie Eilish, Hit Me Hard and Soft (+105)
Beyonce’s biggest competition is Billie Eilish. Her album Hit Me Hard and Soft opened as the favorite. It’s now the favorite, at +105 after sitting second for most of January.
Considering how far behind Cowboy Carter was when lines originally came out, it was a little surprising to see it take over as the favorite. However, with both of these albums well-received, voters may simply vote for who they think is “due.” Eilish already has one Album of the Year win, and her career is still in its early stages. While Beyonce seems like she will be turning out music for years to come, voters may feel as if they’re running out of chances to reward her.
Beyonce, Cowboy Carter (+160)
After opening with the third-shortest odds, Cowboy Carter took over as the favorite to win the biggest award of the night before slipping into second with just days to go. Beyonce is the most decorated artist in Grammy history, and yet, she has never won Album of the Year. That is working in her favor this year, as voters may elect to reward her not just for her 2024 album, but also for her entire body of work.
Album of the Year underdog
Taylor Swift, Tortured Poets Department (+1200)
Putting the word underdog next to Taylor Swift doesn’t feel right. And yet, the four-time Album of the Year winner finds herself in that exact position with the award ceremony quickly approaching. When lines first came out, Swift was the second-favorite behind Eilish, but bettors don’t seem very confident in her winning for a fifth time.
In fact, Swift’s odds have climbed from +195 all the way to +1200. Swift is inching toward longshot territory, but if her popularity and previous award ceremony success are any indicators, then this could end up being the steal of the night.
Right now, The Tortured Poets Department has longer odds to win than both Cowboy Carter and Hit Me Hard and Soft. Additionally, Brat by Charli XCX has moved into third position with odds of +700. Maybe voters are tired of awarding Swift, but after the year she just had, there’s no reason to write her off just yet.
Album of the Year long shot
Sabrina Carpenter, Short n’ Sweet (+2600)
During the holidays, Sabrina Carpenter was eating up headlines with her live performance antics. While some found her performances to be offensive, others absolutely loved it, making Carpenter one of the most talked about musicians by die-hard fans and those who have never heard a song.
Unfortunately for Carpenter, the heat surrounding her has died down significantly with the Grammys drawing near. Had she kept her momentum from November and December, her odds may have dropped, but instead, they sit exactly where they were when lines first came out.
While Carpenter isn’t likely to win this
award, she’s worth taking a shot on at +2600.
My Pick
This may finally be Beyonce’s year, but I think bettors are reading a little too much into the “she’s never won” storyline entering this year’s show. With such a powerhouse lineup, I can’t take her to win when her odds are worse than +200 and voters have passed on awarding her at previous ceremonies. And while Eilish poses a serious threat, there’s simply too much value in backing Swift.
Swift is the biggest pop star in the world right now, and The Tortured Poets Department was the best-performing album of 2024. I liked being able to get her at nearly 2-to-1 odds late last year. To get her at a considerably better value now is simply too good to pass up.
My Pick: Taylor Swift, The Tortured Poets Department (+1200)
2025 Grammys betting odds & predictions
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- Grammys Album of the Year odds
- Grammys Song of the Year odds
Grammy Awards FAQs
When will the 2024 Grammy Awards take place?
The Grammy Awards will take place on Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025, at 8 p.m. ET.
Where are the Grammy Awards held?
The Grammys will be held at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.
Who will host the Grammy Awards?
No host has been announced for the Grammys at this time.
How can I watch the Grammy Awards?
The Grammys will air live on CBS, and they will stream on Paramount+. They can also be found on demand on Paramount+.
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