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USA vs. Canada Player Prop Picks & Odds: Tonight's Best 4 Nations Face-Off Bets

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: February 15, 2025 3:31 PM EST • 3 min 32 sec read.

We offer our USA vs. Canada 4 Nations Face-Off prediction and picks.
Pictured: Team USA forward Matthew Tkachuk celebrates his goal. Photo by David Kirouac via Imagn Images

I often hear the saying "it's not all rainbows, butterflies, and unicorns." Whoever coined that idiom obviously didn't foresee a future best-on-best matchup between Canada and Team USA. 

Saturday's 4 Nations Face-Off round-robin tilt at Bell Centre in Montreal (8 p.m. ET, ABC) comes with its fair share of unicorns, leads to involuntary butterflies for most onlookers, and is as rare a spectacle as finding a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. 

Our USA vs. Canada player prop picks feature a few such unicorns as the 4 Nations Face-Off odds favorites get set for battle. 

USA vs. Canada player prop picks for Saturday

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • My best player prop pick: Sidney Crosby Over 0.5 assists (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Matthew Tkachuk prop pick: Over 2.5 shots (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Nathan MacKinnon prop pick: Anytime goal (+200 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Connor McDavid prop pick: Over 0.5 assists (-122 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best player prop pick for USA vs. Canada

Sidney Crosby Over 0.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

How can you not take advantage of plus-money odds for Sid the Kid to notch at least one helper after his impressive performance during the opener against Sweden? Captain Canada notched three assists against the Swedes, including a behind-the-back dish to Nathan MacKinnon and the primary helper on Mitch Marner's overtime winner.

Sure, Marner did most of the work, but Sid had the wherewithal to get him the puck in space. Crosby is the MVP odds favorite across our best sportsbooks, and the legend continually proves why he's the most clutch player on the planet. Crosby has logged 19 assists in his last 26 games with Canada. 

A big game player personified, Crosby makes everyone on the ice better, an even more frightening prospect considering MacKinnon is alongside for the ride. A winning $10 bet will lead to a profit of $10.20.

Crosby's winning pedigree at the international level is one of the primary reasons I backed Canada in our early 4 Nations Face-Off predictions. 

Best odds: +102 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 49.50%

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USA vs. Canada player props

Matthew Tkachuk Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I backed Matthew, the older Tkachuk brother, to fire at least three shots on goal against Finland in Team USA's opener. He finished with two goals on eight shots.

Before launching on sight against the Finns, he hit the Over on his shots total in four of the star's last five outings with the Florida Panthers. Tkachuk is averaging six shots per contest across his last six games in all competitions.

While there's no way he'll be that prolific against Canada, Tkachuk should ratchet up his beast mode when donning the red, white, and blue. And a tilt against Canada will surely get the competitive juices firing.

I'm confident he'll fire three or four shots on Jordan Binnington. A winning $10 bet will translate to a $10.60 profit. 

Best odds: +106 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 48.54%

Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐

I backed MacKinnon, who's among the Hart Trophy odds front-runners, to finish with the most tournament goals. He's a goal off the pace now, trailing the Tkachuk brothers.

MacKinnon registered six shots against the Swedes, scored a power-play goal in the first minute, and was a one-man wrecking crew during overtime. He's also playing beside Crosby, who can find him in seemingly impossible situations.

While I believe goals will be at a premium against the Americans, MacKinnon is a perennial threat to light the lamp. A winning $10 bet will yield a $20 profit.

MacKinnon is a key reason I backed Jon Cooper's team in our USA vs. Canada prediction and picks.  

Best odds: +200 via bet365 | Implied probability: 33.33%

Connor McDavid Over 0.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

McDavid was flying around the ice like a firefly against the Swedes while impossible to stop and nearly impossible to slow.

But his line wasn't as electric, with Marner and Sam Reinhart struggling to keep up for a large portion of the contest. Marner made up for it late in the third and overtime, but Reinhart never reached fifth gear. I expect a much-improved performance from Reinhart tonight. 

McDavid's assist in the opener came on MacKinnon's power-play goal 56 seconds into the contest. He would have tallied a second helper had it not been for Filip Gustavsson's acrobatic point-blank save on Devon Toews. 

McDavid will be even better against the Americans, and he should tally at least one helper. FanDuel offers the best price of our best sports betting sites on most prop picks. 

Best odds: -122 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.95%

USA vs. Canada odds

Odds via Betway.

MarketUSACanada
Moneyline-110-110
Puck line+1.5 (-300)-1.5 (+200)
Over/UnderOver 6.5 (+100)Under 6.5 (-120)

When is USA vs. Canada?

  • When: Saturday, Feb. 15
  • Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bell Centre (Montreal, Que.)
  • How to watch: ABC, Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Pick'em (-110 via Betway)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.