Sweden vs. USA Player Prop Picks & Odds Tonight: Best 4 Nations Face-Off Bets Feb. 17
In today's matinee contest, Canada ended Sweden's chances of making the final with their win over Finland. While it might impact the outcome of tonight's final round-robin 4 Nations Face-Off contest, it shouldn't affect our Sweden vs. USA player prop picks.
Tonight's contest occurs at TD Garden in Boston (8 p.m. ET, TNT), with the USA, the 4 Nations Face-Off odds favorites entering play. It will be interesting to see how things unfold with the USA, knowing they'll face Canada in Thursday's final.
Sweden vs. USA player prop picks for Monday
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- My best player prop pick: Jake Guentzel 3+ shots (+120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Adrian Kempe player prop pick: 3+ shots (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Brady Tkachuk player prop pick: Anytime goal (+280 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Best player prop pick for Sweden vs. USA
Jake Guentzel 3+ shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Guentzel enters Monday's final day of round-robin play as the tournament's leading goal-scorer. Two of his three goals came against mentor and former teammate Crosby's Canada. While drawn to his +240 odds to light the lamp, I'm focusing on his shot production against the Three Crowns.
Guentzel had four shots against the Finns in the opener, followed by a five-shot performance against Canada.
Both performances were as impressive as they were productive, but I'm more floored by his ability to find enough space against Canada's elite defense to rack up five shots and nine attempts.
Only injured teammate Matthew Tkachuk has more shots (11). He's one of the reasons I foresee the Americans making it three wins in a row, which I covered in our Sweden vs. USA prediction.
At plus-money odds, it's a pick I can't turn a blind eye to. A winning $10 bet will profit $12.
Best odds: +120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 45.45%
Sweden vs. USA player props
Adrian Kempe 3+ shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kempe picked up where he left off with the Los Angeles Kings. Kempe had at least four shots on goal in nine of his 10 games prior to the 4 Nations Face-Off. He averaged 4.3 shots per game in that stint. In his two 4 Nations Face-Off contests, Kempe has eight shots on goal.
Five of those came against Canada in the opener. Like Guentzel, Kempe attempted nine shots against Canada. Overall, Kempe registered at least four shots in 11 of his last 12 tilts. FanDuel's -104 odds represent a bargain our other best sportsbooks couldn't compete with.
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.98%
Brady Tkachuk anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐
Referred to as a menace by some and a certified psychopath by others, the younger Tkachuk has been dynamite thus far.
Always playing on the edge, Tkachuk often more closely resembles the angriest version of the Hulk than an all-star American hockey player. Maybe he does moonlight as the Hulk to prevent him from consistently morphing when the game is on.
That didn't stop him from transitioning into beast mode against the Canadians, where he picked a fight with Sam Bennett. He'll be without his older brother for Monday's contest, but that shouldn't stop him from putting on another show. It might even motivate him more. Tkachuk scored two goals in the opener against Finland and has eight shots on goal.
I expect him to be at his disruptive and pugnacious best against the Swedes, which could include his third goal. A winning $10 bet will profit $28.
Best odds: +280 via bet365 | Implied probability: 26.32%
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Sweden vs. USA odds
Odds via Betway.
| Market | Sweden | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Puck line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+135) |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110) |
When is Sweden vs. USA?
- When: Monday, Feb. 17
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Garden (Boston)
- How to watch: TNT, Sportsnet
- Favorite: USA (-180 via Betway)
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