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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: November 16, 2024 10:50 AM EST • 2 min 56 sec read.

Edmonton Oilers forward Leon Draisaitl handles the puck against the Vancouver Canucks as we offer our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs prediction.
Edmonton Oilers forward Leon Draisaitl handles the puck against the Vancouver Canucks. Photo by Bob Frid via Imagn Images

What happens when Godzilla fights King Kong? We'll find out when the Edmonton Oilers and Toronto Maple Leafs, two of the Stanley Cup odds favorites, square off on Saturday in Toronto. 

Slowly starting to resemble the team that came within a goal of the Stanley Cup, the Oilers have won three straight and five of their last seven, including four of the previous five in enemy rinks. 

The Maple Leafs are also been enjoying a fruitful patch, winning four of their last five overall and at Scotiabank Arena, where the puck drops at 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network, Sportsnet). 

Auston Matthews will miss his sixth game with an upper-body injury, but his absence doesn't impact our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs prediction. 

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Maple Leafs ML ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +115 via Betway | Implied probability: 46.51%

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The Maple Leafs are home underdogs, which happens about as often as a quiet rush hour in Toronto.

With that in mind, I'm backing Toronto to continue its success on home ice. I expect the Maple Leafs to play immeasurably better than they did on Wednesday at home against the Ottawa Senators, where they slept-walked throughout the proceedings.

It's highly unlikely either team endures a sleepy start in a nationally televised Saturday night game at a Canadian hockey Mecca. 

Toronto allows the second-fewest goals on home ice (2.10) and is 7-3-0 at Scotiabank Arena, with all seven victories of the multi-goal variety. While it hasn't been confirmed, Anthony Stolarz should get the start in goal. He produced his first mediocre game of the season against Ottawa and will be looking to rebound. 

Stolarz is 5-2-0 with a .943 save percentage and a 1.74 goals-against-average (GAA) at Scotiabank Arena. Only Andrei Vasilevskiy has posted better stats in his own barn (.943 save percentage, 1.54 GAA).

Oilers' recent exploits 

Whoever starts in goal for Toronto will be in for a challenging night. The Oilers have posted the second-most expected goals (43.5) and are finally being rewarded, scoring 11 goals in the last three games.

Connor McDavid has registered nine points in those three contests, and he became the fourth-fastest player to reach 1,000 points after scoring against Nashville on Thursday. 

However, the Maple Leafs hold the advantage in goal, especially if Stolarz starts. Stuart Skinner, who has allowed three goals in three straight outings, should get the nod for the Oilers.

While impressive recently on the road, three of Edmonton's last four victories came against teams that didn't make the playoffs last season. The Oilers face an entirely different beast in Toronto.

Plus, the home team has won the last five games in this timeless rivalry. A winning $10 bet will lead to a profit of $11.50. 

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs player prop bet

NHL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.

Leon Draisaitl prop bet: Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.55%

Leon Draisaitl tallied four shots in two of his last three games. And he usually lets loose when playing the Maple Leafs. Draistaitl recorded at least three shots in six of his last seven games against Toronto, averaging 3.43 shots per game during that stretch.

The Maple Leafs don't allow a ton of shots at home, which is one of the reasons the lower shot total for Draisaitl is more appealing than McDavid's at 3.5. A winning $10 bet would yield an $8.33 profit. 

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs live odds & info

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 16
  • Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
  • How to watch: NHL Network
  • Favorite: Oilers (-135 via Betway)

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs predictions made Saturday at 10 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.