Norris Trophy Odds 2024-25: Makar Increases Lead Over Hughes
Life comes with at least three guarantees: Taxes, breathing heavily after a bad sports betting beat, and seeing Cale Makar and Quinn Hughes atop the Norris Trophy odds leaderboard.
Makar's lead at our NHL betting sites has been shrinking over the past month, which is exciting news for neutrals and a slightly concerning development for those who backed the Colorado Avalanche defenseman.
Speaking of concerning news, Hughes won't participate in the 4 Nations Face-Off due to an undisclosed injury. Hopefully the break provides him with enough time to return for the home stretch of the NHL season.
Zach Werenski is still in the Norris Trophy odds mix too with the third-shortest odds.
Norris Trophy odds 2025
Some recent Norris Trophy odds takeaways:
- Werenski leads the Columbus Blue Jackets in scoring with 59 points
- Werenski has seen the biggest odds improvement among the favorites, moving from +2000 to +625 over the last two months
- Makar leads all defensemen in goals and points
- Hughes leads all defensemen in assists and primary assists
- Makar, Hughes, and Werenski are the only players with an implied win probability exceeding 13%
- Among the three favorites, Makar's Colorado Avalanche have the best Stanley Cup odds
Norris Trophy odds favorites 2024-25
Cale Makar Norris Trophy odds (-125)
Makar leads all defensemen in goals, points, power-play goals, power-play points, shot attempts, and primary assists.
He's also leading a resurgent Avs team that's ascending the standings thanks to a significant defensive improvement. That's also tied to their goaltending change, but Makar can take some credit.
One of the three favorites will win this award. Hughes has been eating into Makar's lead over the last month, but his injury must be concerning for anyone who backed him.
The odds for Makar are still short, but I don't see them getting much longer as we turn the final corner of the NHL season. A winning $10 bet will lead to an $8 profit. Now is probably the best time to act if you like the lead horse.
Best odds: -125 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.56%
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Quinn Hughes Norris Trophy odds (+160)
Hughes' odds have been shortening over the last month, moving from +375 to +160. The Canucks star is finally getting the recognition he deserves, mostly due to his sterling advanced analytics.
His injury is a concern, but the 4 Nations Face-Off will provide some much-needed time off.
He's scoring at the highest clip of all defensemen (1.26 points per game). Additionally, Hughes is performing better than Makar in several advanced analytics.
- Hughes is tied for the third-best Corsi rating (Makar is T-16th)
- Hughes is tied for the fourth-best on-ice goals percentage (Makar is T-15th)
- Hughes holds the fifth-best on-ice expected goals percentage (Makar is T-13th)
- Hughes sits second-best in shot attempts against per 60 minutes (Makar is fourth)
Finally, Hughes doesn't play with Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, two of the purest creators and point-getters around. That needs to count for something. His +160 odds offer excellent value if Hughes returns to the lineup soon and doesn't miss a beat.
Best odds: +160 BetMGM | Implied probability: 38.46%
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My Norris Trophy player to watch
Zach Werenski Norris Trophy odds (+625)
Outside of the big two, Werenski maintains the best chance of capturing his first Norris Trophy. His odds have remained steady over the last month, decreasing slightly from +600 to +625.
The Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman is plus-10, and he's the primary reason the Blue Jackets are in the wild-card mix. He's tied for second in points among defensemen, has tallied 17 goals (second behind Makar), and has logged the most even-strength points.
The Blue Jackets rely on Werenski as much if not more than the Canucks and Avalanche do with Hughes and Makar. Good for you if you backed him when I supported Werenski as a +2000-or-more flier. Then again, he needs to sustain his torrid pace, but there are no signs suggesting we won't.
A winning $10 bet will translate to a $62.50 profit.
Best odds: +625 via Caesars | Implied probability: 13.79%
How to read Norris Trophy futures odds
Reading Norris Trophy odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a team winning the championship. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability.
Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
How to bet on Norris Trophy futures odds
The Norris Trophy has become an award designated for the NHL's best offensive defenceman. Those who produce offensively are the most likely finalists and winners.
So keep that in mind when choosing your Norris Trophy picks.
Does he play on an offensive team? Along with backing someone who tallies a ton of points, make sure he plays for a team that can frequently light the lamp.
For example, Evan Bouchard, Miro Heiskanen, and Makar fit this bill. Each player suits up for offensively potent teams, increasing their chances of winning the individual accolade.
Is the player injury-prone? Ensure you're selecting a durable blue liner who spends way more time on the ice than on the treatment table.
Is the player a power-play specialist? This corresponds to the previous category, but it's imperative you back those who are power-play specialists, quarterbacks if you will.
Also, do they quarterback a proficient or middling power play? Bouchard quarterbacks arguably the NHL's best power play, further lifting his Norris stock. Last year's winner, Hughes, scored 38 of 82 points on the power play.
2025 Norris Trophy opening odds
- Cale Makar: +225
- Adam Fox: +600
- Rasmus Dahlin: +800
- Quinn Hughes: +1000
- Miro Heiskanen: +1100
- Miro Heiskanen: +1100
- Charlie McAvoy: +1400
- Dougie Hamilton: +1600
- Erik Karlsson: +1600
- Roman Josi: +1800
- Josh Morrissey: +2000
- Victor Hedman: +2200
- John Carlson: +3500
- Moritz Seider: +3500
- Evan Bouchard: +4000
- Jakob Chychrun: +4000
Norris Trophy past winners
There hasn't been a repeat Norris Trophy winner in the last nine seasons. Erik Karlsson, who won in 2014-15 and 2022-23, is the last back-to-back winner.
| Season | Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Quinn Hughes | Vancouver Canucks | +1000 |
| 2022-23 | Erik Karlsson | San Jose Sharks | +8000 |
| 2021-22 | Cale Makar | Colorado Avalanche | +400 |
| 2020-21 | Adam Fox | New York Rangers | +3500 |
| 2019-20 | Roman Josi | Nashville Predators | +1600 |
| 2018-19 | Mark Giordano | Calgary Flames | N/A |
| 2017-18 | Victor Hedman | Tampa Bay Lightning | +650 |
| 2016-17 | Brent Burns | San Jose Sharks | +700 |
| 2015-16 | Drew Doughty | Los Angeles Kings | +500 |
| 2014-15 | Erik Karlsson | San Jose Sharks | +400 |
| 2013-14 | Duncan Keith | Chicago Blackhawks | +1200 |
Norris Trophy FAQs
Who is the Norris Trophy favorite?
Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar is the favorite, trading at -125. Those odds carry an implied probability of 55.56% via our odds calculator.
Who won the Norris Trophy last season?
Quinn Hughes won the Norris Trophy during the 2023-24 season, finishing ahead of Cale Makar of the Colorado Avalanche and Roman Josi of the Nashville Predators.
When will the Norris Trophy be decided?
Votes from the Professional Hockey Writers' Association must be filed before the Stanley Cup playoffs begin. The end of the 2023-24 regular season is Thursday, April 18.
Which team has the most consecutive Norris Trophy winners?
The Boston Bruins saw Bobby Orr win eight consecutive Norris Trophies.
Who won the most consecutive Norris Trophies?
Orr won eight consecutive Norris Trophies with the Boston Bruins from 1968 to 1975.
Who won the most Norris Trophies?
Orr's eight Norris Trophies are the most, while Nicklas Lidstrom and Doug Harvey won seven.
Which active player has the most Norris Trophies?
Erik Karlsson has won three Norris Trophies, the most of any active player.
Who was the last back-to-back Norris Trophy winner?
Nicklas Lidstrom won three in a row from 2006 to 2008.
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