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Jets vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: November 22, 2024 12:13 PM EST • 2 min 49 sec read.

Winnipeg Jets left wing Kyle Connor celebrates his goal against the Florida Panthers as we offer our Jets vs. Penguins prediction.
Winnipeg Jets left wing Kyle Connor celebrates his goal against the Florida Panthers. Photo by James Carey Lauder via Imagn Images

The Winnipeg Jets soar into PPG Paints Arena with the NHL's best record (16-3-0) as they prepare for a Friday encounter with the Pittsburgh Penguins (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+), who have lost six of their last eight. 

It took some time, but the Jets' Stanley Cup odds are finally ascending.

Scott Arniel's squad is tied with the New York Rangers for the third-best road points percentage (.778), and it enters tonight's contest as the clear favorite.

However, the Rangers' moneyline odds (-160) aren't as short as I expected for a contest against a Pens team with the sixth-worst record (3-6-2) and fifth-worst defensive record on home ice. 

Maybe Winnipeg losing two straight on the road, the team's only away defeats, impacted the Jets' odds. Either way, our Jets vs. Penguins prediction expects Winnipeg to get the job done in regulation. 

Jets vs. Penguins prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Jets 3-way ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via Betway | Implied probability: 51.22%

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The Jets are well-rested and will want to make amends for the Florida Panthers (5-0) and Tampa Bay Lightning (4-1) blowing them out in the Sunshine State. There are few better ways to recapture your road mojo than playing the Pens at PPG Paints Arena. 

Pittsburgh has lost three of the last four at home, with its only win against a San Jose Sharks team with the third-worst road points percentage (.308). The Pens' defense has been consistently abject since the start of the season, and that shows in the numbers. They're allowing the most goals per game (3.86) and goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (3.41). 

They've also allowed the third-most goals above expected (9.11), highlighting a recurring issue in goal. And it hasn't really mattered which of their three goalies gets the starting nod. 

Jets are flying on the road 

The Jets' letdown games in Tampa Bay and Sunrise, Fla. were bound to happen. No team can continually play flawlessly in enemy environments, no matter how elite or dominant. It's not like they need it, but those setbacks should motivate the Jets as they embark on a six-game road trip. 

Winnipeg is 7-2-0 on the road, allowing the ninth-fewest goals per game (2.67). By allowing nine goals in Florida, that defensive record—which was recently the league's best—took a hit. Excluding those two outliers, the Jets haven't allowed more than three goals in any enemy rink. 

Connor Hellebucyk is the confirmed starter, increasing the Jets' chances of securing the regulation win. Hellebuyck is 13-2-0 with a 2.20 goals-against average and a .923 save percentage. He wasn't in goal the last time these two teams met, and the Jets won that affair 6-3 on home ice.

If the Jets win in regulation, a $10 bet will lead to a profit $9.52. 

Jets vs. Penguins player prop bet

NHL picks made Friday; odds subject to change.

Jets prop bet: Over 3.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via Betway | Implied probability: 52.38%

The Jets score 4.11 goals per game on the road, tied for the second most with the Rangers. Overall, Winnipeg scores the most (4.21). Excluding those forgettable outings in Florida, the Jets have scored four-plus goals in six of seven away games, averaging 5.14 during that stretch. 

Their explosive offense, combined with the Pens' tragic defensive record, enhances the appeal of this prop, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09. 

Jets vs. Penguins live odds & info

  • When: Friday, Nov. 22
  • Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh)
  • How to watch: ESPN+
  • Favorite: Jets (-160 via Betway)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.