Canada vs. USA Odds, Picks & Score Prediction: Who Will Win 4 Nations Face-Off Final Tonight?
Let the off-ice trash talk cease and the on-ice action, and if ChatGPT's AI 4 Nations Face-Off final predictions come to fruition, fisticuffs commence.
In a few hours, at 8 p.m. ET, Canada and the USA will battle for the glory in the 4 Nations Face-Off final at TD Garden in Boston (ESPN). Our Canada vs. USA prediction expects Jon Cooper's team to exact revenge, coming up with the goods when it matters most.
Who is favored to win Canada vs. USA in 4 Nations Face-Off final?
The Americans opened as the favorites and will enter tonight's 4 Nations Face-Off final just in front of Canada by the 4 Nations Face-Off odds.
It was an absolute dead heat, a pick'em affair at our best sportsbooks about 14 hours before the opening puck drop. However, the line moved slightly in favor of Team USA in the last few hours, demonstrating the public's belief in Mike Sullivan's squad.
As you can see, 57% of the money and 52% of the bets are backing the USA at BetMGM. Canada was also the slight underdog when we made our early 4 Nations Face-Off predictions.
🔢 Canada vs. USA odds & betting lines
Here are the latest Canada vs. USA odds and betting lines via Betway for Thursday's 4 Nations Face-Off final at 8 p.m. ET. Be sure to check out the rest of our NHL picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NHL.
Betway has remained steadfast, with Canada the favorite since the betting lines opened.
| Market | Canada | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Puck line | -1.5 (+225) | +1.5 (-350) |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 (+110) | Under 5.5 (-130) |
Who will win 4 Nations Face-Off final?
Every NHL franchise with participating players in the final will hold their collective breath as Canada and the USA take one last hard, sustained charge at each other.
While the USA won the round-robin contest, I can't see Canada going down in consecutive games against their bitter rivals. Also, Canada's top players found some momentum while the Americans' best have been pushed slightly off course in the lead-up to the final, which I'll dive into more below.
The USA has a discernible advantage in goal, but Jordan Binnington has unforgettable winning memories in Boston. Those reasons, among others, are why I predict Canada will win the 4 Nations Face-Off final.
🏒 Canada vs. USA score prediction: Canada 3, USA 2
It's time to drop the puck, or should I say gloves, on one of the most anticipated hockey contests in a generation. The one discernible USA advantage resides between the pipes, with runaway Vezina Trophy odds favorite Connor Hellebuyck representing the world's best. He's also the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds favorite entering the final.
Hellebuyck's record with the USA is about as indomitable as his presence in the cage. So, he must be due for a loss, right?
This might be grasping at straws, a pre-requisite when trying to find Hellebuyck weaknesses, but Hellebuyck is a subpar 2-3-1 in Boston, posting a 2.49 goals-against average (GAA) and a .921 save percentage. In addition, Connor McDavid has 56 points (12 goals, 44 assists) in 33 games against the Hellebuyck-led Jets. McDavid also has nine assists in his last seven games against the Jets netminder.
Make no mistake: For Canada to win, Jordan Binnington cannot allow a goal like he did in the round-robin game. While he's susceptible to those harebrained moments, Binnington enjoyed the best patch of his career in Boston, winning three of four games there en route to the 2019 Stanley Cup championship. He was 3-1, with a .947 save percentage and a 1.75 GAA.
Canada is likely looking at another key advantage, Cale Makar. The Norris Trophy odds favorite didn't play against the Americans in the round-robin due to an undisclosed illness.
Combine that with the fact that one of Team USA's primary shutdown defensemen, Charlie McAvoy, will not play due to a shoulder injury. He was the main reason McDavid — aside from his moment of magic — was relatively quiet in the previous meeting.
It has been confirmed that Quinn Hughes will not save the day for the USA. The 4 Nations Face-Off rules state that the U.S. must have one more unavailable defenseman before he can play. So, the Makar advantage is well and truly in play.
Lastly, McDavid and Nathan MacKinnon have found their groove while the Tkachuk brothers and Auston Matthews are banged up. As if there were any doubt, all three will play in the final. However, there's more than a puncher's chance that at least one of them won't be playing at full bore.
Final score prediction: Team Canada 3, Team USA 2
💰 Canada vs. USA expert picks & best bets: ML, O/U, spread
Here are our Canada vs. USA expert picks and best bets with our pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NHL player prop odds tool for the latest NHL odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
- Canada vs. USA moneyline pick: Canada ML (-115 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
- Canada vs. USA Over/Under pick: Under 5.5 goals (-130 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Canada vs. USA puck line pick: USA +1.5 (-330 via Betway) ⭐⭐
Canada vs. USA parlay odds: +331 via Betway (bet $10 to win $33.10)
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🥅 Canada vs. USA rosters: 4 Nations Face-Off final
Here are the rosters for Thursday's 4 Nations Face-Off final between Canada and USA.
| USA | Canada |
|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | Sam Bennett |
| Kyle Connor | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jack Eichel | Sidney Crosby |
| Jake Guentzel | Brandon Hagel |
| Jack Hughes | Seth Jarvis |
| Chris Kreider | Travis Konecny |
| Dylan Larkin | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Auston Matthews | Brad Marchand |
| J.T. Miller | Mitch Marner |
| Brock Nelson | Connor McDavid |
| Matthew Tkachuk | Brayden Point |
| Brady Tkachuk | Sam Reinhart |
| Vincent Trocheck | Mark Stone |
| Tage Thompson | Cale Makar |
| Brett Pesce | Josh Morrissey |
| Brock Faber | Colton Parayko |
| Adam Fox | Travis Sanheim |
| Noah Hanifin | Thomas Harley |
| Jaccob Slavin | Devon Toews |
| Zach Werenski | Drew Doughty |
| Jake Sanderson | Jordan Binnington |
| Connor Hellebuyck | Adin Hill |
| Jake Oettinger |
🚑 Canada vs. USA injuries: Who will play in 4 Nations Face-Off final?
USA injuries
- Charlie McAvoy — Out
- Matthew Tkachuk (lower body) — In
- Brady Tkachuk (leg) — In
- Auston Matthews (upper body) — In
Canada injuries
- Shea Theodore (shoulder) — Out
🚨 More Canada vs. USA expert picks & predictions
- 4 Nations Face-Off odds
- 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds
- Canada vs. USA prediction
- Canada vs. USA player props
- Canada vs. USA parlay
- Canada vs. USA AI prediction
📺 How to watch Canada vs. USA: 4 Nations Face-Off final
📅 Date: Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025
🕗 Time: 8 p.m. ET
📍 Location: TD Garden (Boston)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+, Fubo, Sling
❓ 4 Nations Face-Off final FAQs
Who is favored to win Canada vs. USA hockey?
It's a dead heat, with no decisive favorite across our best sportsbooks. However, Betway has Canada as the -115 favorite. Those odds imply a 53.49% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
What time is Canada vs. USA hockey?
Thursday's 4 Nations Face-Off final starts at 8 p.m. ET.
How to watch Canada vs. USA hockey
You can watch the 4 Nations Face-Off final on ESPN or Sportsnet. It can be streamed on ESPN+, Sportsnet+, and Fubo.
🏒 Best NHL betting sites for Canada vs. USA in 4 Nations Face-Off final
Looking to bet on Canada vs. USA in the 4 Nations Face-Off final? Here are our best NHL betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of tonight's game at 8 p.m. ET.
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