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Canada vs. Finland Player Prop Picks & Odds: Today's Best 4 Nations Face-Off Bets

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: February 17, 2025 11:49 AM EST • 2 min 43 sec read.

We offer our Canada vs. Finland player prop picks.
Pictured: Team Canada forward Connor McDavid plays the puck against Team Sweden. Photo by David Kirouac / Imagn Images.

Canada and Finland square off in a must-win scenario on Monday, with a possible trip to the finals on the line. Puck drop at TD Garden in Boston is at 1 p.m. ET (TNT). 

Canada, the pre-tournament 4 Nations Face-Off odds co-favorites, should be on high alert not to look past a Finland team that beat the Swedes. Making it three-for-three, the co-host nation will turn to Jordan Binnington between the pipes again. 

My Canada vs. Finland player prop picks expect Jon Cooper's team to dictate play and feature a trio of Canadians I think will put their stamp on the game.

Canada vs. Finland player prop picks for Monday

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • My best player prop pick: Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points (+150 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Mark Stone prop pick: Over 1.5 shots (-135 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Nathan MacKinnon prop pick: anytime goal (+130 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐

Best player prop pick for Canada vs. Finland

Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

It's the type of pressure cooker tailor-made for McDavid. He's playing against a slower, less mobile Finnish defense.

The Edmonton Oilers captain and Hart Trophy odds contender should be able to find more space than he did against the Americans by utilizing his speed in the neutral zone. 

Yes, he'll have Aleksander Barkov draped all over him like a stage-five clinger, but McDavid enjoyed success against the shut-down centerman in Games 3 through 5 of last year's Stanley Cup Final, scoring 10 points. Plus, Barkov doesn't have the surrounding depth — particularly on the blueline — he does in Florida. 

McDavid thrives in do-or-die situations.

He's a big-game player, not only lifting his level in such scenarios but taking the entire contest by the scruff of its neck. While rugged, tireless, and ultra-competitive, the Finnish defense won't have what it takes to keep the world's best player under wraps. In my Canada vs. Finland prediction, he's one of the primary reasons I backed Cooper's squad to win by at least two goals. 

A winning $10 bet will profit $15. 

Best odds: +150 via Betway | Implied probability: 40%

Canada vs. Finland player props

Mark Stone Over 1.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I'm counting on Stone to continue playing alongside Sidney Crosby and MacKinnon. He has six shots in the first two games — three in each — benefitting from playing with two of the best passers. Stone has a knack for finding a soft spot in coverage, providing the opportunity to let loose. He's not a highly productive shooter by any means, but the lower total sways the pendulum.

He hit the Over in five of the last six games with the Vegas Golden Knights before the start of the tournament, making it seven of the last eight in all competitions. A winning $10 bet will yield a $7.41 profit.

Best odds: -135 via Betway | Implied probability: 57.45%

Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐

It's time for MacKinnon to show his best stuff 5-on-5. While we've seen it on the power play and during 3-on-3 overtime, he's struggled to find his groove at full strength.

As an aside, I'm all over the Crosby assist prop pick, but the -135 odds compel me to feature this higher-value, albeit less probable, selection. 

At full flight, MacKinnon can cause the Finnish defense recurring nightmares. And like McDavid, he usually saves his best for must-win situations. If he lights the lamp, a $10 bet will profit $13. 

Best odds: +130 via Betway | Implied probability: 43.48%

Canada vs. Finland odds

Odds via Betway.

MarketCanadaFinland
Moneyline-400+300
Puck line-1.5 (-140)+1.5 (+110)
Over/UnderOver 5.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (+110)

When is Canada vs. Finland?

  • When: Monday, Feb. 17
  • Puck drop: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: TD Garden (Boston)
  • How to watch: TNT, Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Canada (-400 via Betway)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.