2025 NHL Award Predictions & Odds: Top Picks for Hart, Norris, Vezina
The 2024-25 season will be here before you know it as we dive into our top 2025 NHL award predictions for the Vezina, Norris, and Hart based on the odds from our best NHL betting sites.
All major 2023-24 awards will be handed out in Las Vegas tonight. But before the top players collect their respective awards, let's get down and dirty predicting the 2024-25 Norris, Vezina, and Hart Trophy winners.
Most of our best sports betting sites released the 2024-25 odds for the Vezina, Hart, and Norris Trophies as the Stanley Cup Final culminated. The likely suspects sit atop the odds leaderboards. According to the 2024-25 Hart Trophy odds, Connor McDavid is the lead candidate, while Cale Makar is the clear Norris front-runner.
At this early stage, Jeremy Swayman, Igor Shesterkin, and Connor Hellebuyck are neck and neck atop the Vezina Trophy odds leaderboard.
NHL futures predictions
Odds via our best best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Hart Trophy: Nathan MacKinnon (+700 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Norris Trophy: Miro Heiskanen (+1300 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Vezina Trophy: Igor Shesterkin (+600 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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2025 Hart Trophy odds and pick
Hart Trophy odds as of June 26
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | +700 | +500 | +550 |
Nathan MacKinnon
Best odds: +700 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 12.5%
He's as quick as a greyhound and as powerful as an agitated bull. At 28, MacKinnon is smack-dab in the middle of his prime, and he's only getting better. He scored 51 goals in 2023-24, smashing through the 50-goal barrier for the first time.
He finished with 140 points in 82 games, 36 points ahead of second-place Mikko Rantanen among Avalanche skaters. MacKinnon eclipsed his previous season's best point tally by 29 points and might have to be as good, if not better, in 2024-25.
The jury is out on whether Valeri Nichushkin will return after entering Stage 3 of the player's assistance program. Gabriel Landeskog missed the last two seasons due to a lingering knee injury.
While Landeskog is expected to return in 2024-25, nobody knows how well he'll adapt to proceedings after such a long hiatus. That may heap more pressure on MacKinnon, who will probably take it in stride as he did in 2023-24.
The +700 odds at DraftKings will pay a profit of $70 if he wins the 2024-25 Hart Trophy. That's $20 and $15 more than the possible returns at FanDuel and BetMGM, respectively.
McDavid is the favorite to win the award, but his +180 odds are way too juiced for my liking.
2025 Norris Trophy odds and pick
Norris Trophy odds as of June 26
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen | +800 | +1300 | +1100 |
Miro Heiskanen
Best odds: +1300 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 7.14%
Heiskanen is as close to a breakout season as McDavid is to winning the Stanley Cup. And I expect it to come in 2024-25. Cale Makar offers the safest bet in this market, with the former winner trading at +250 and +300. The Avs' superstar defenseman is the clear favorite, and rightly so.
While there are other strong candidates (Quinn Hughes, Roman Josi, and Evan Bouchard), Heiskanen brings something special and slightly different to the party. Nobody, including Makar, skates better than the Stars' defenseman.
He knows when to join the offense as the third or fourth man and is a superb quarterback on a dangerous Dallas power play. And he's still only 24 years old. It also helps that he plays on a Stars team that is among our 2025 Stanley Cup predictions and the league's third-best offensive team last season.
Heiskanen amassed 54 points in 71 games in 2023-24, a 19-point decrease from his best points tally (73 points) in the previous season. Heiskanen raised his level in the 2023-24 playoffs, scoring 16 points in 19 games. I expect that level to extend into the forthcoming campaign and absolutely love the value offered at FanDuel.
The +1300 odds will pay a profit of $130 on a winning $10 bet.
2025 Vezina Trophy odds and pick
Vezina Trophy odds as of June 26
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | +600 | +600 | +600 |
Igor Shesterkin
Best odds: +600 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 14.29%
I was tempted to go with Jake Oettinger. And while the Stars' netminder represents fabulous value (+1300 at FanDuel), Shesterkin is consistently one of the league's best netminders. Shesterkin endured a comparatively subpar 2023-24 regular season before returning to his otherworldly best for most of the postseason.
Not only will he be highly motivated to have a bounce-back season, but he becomes an unrestricted free agent following the 2024-25 season. Individuals often save their best hockey when the time arises for contract extension negotiations.
While he doesn't have to prove himself to anyone, the former Vezina winner has bundles of reasons to consistently showcase his best in 2024-25. I imagine another Vezina-caliber season would give the Russian netminder even more leverage when it comes time to put pen to paper on a new contract.
All of our best sports betting sites offer +600 odds, returning a profit of $60 if it hits.
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Past NHL award winners
| Year | Hart Trophy | Norris Trophy | Vezina Trophy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Connor McDavid | Erik Karlsson | Linus Ullmark |
| 2022 | Auston Matthews | Cale Makar | Igor Shesterkin |
| 2021 | Connor McDavid | Adam Fox | Marc-Andre Fleury |
| 2020 | Leon Draisaitl | Roman Josi | Connor Hellebuyck |
| 2019 | Nikita Kucherov | Mark Giordano | Andrei Vasilevskiy |
| 2018 | Taylor Hall | Victor Hedman | Pekka Rinne |
| 2017 | Connor McDavid | Brent Burns | Sergei Bobrovsky |
| 2016 | Patrick Kane | Drew Doughty | Braden Holtby |
| 2015 | Carey Price | Erik Karlsson | Carey Price |
| 2014 | Sidney Crosby | Duncan Keith | Tuukka Rask |
How to bet on NHL awards
Betting on NHL awards is a long-term play that demands patience and the ability to strike when the iron is hottest.
Usually, the return on investment is higher than game picks or more short-term plays. The only exceptions are for massive favorites like McDavid for the 2024-25 Hart Trophy. You'll have to determine whether backing McDavid at between +175 and +180 is worth it.
If you're keen on backing McDavid, you might want to wait to pull the trigger. While nobody expects him to start as poorly as he did in 2023-24, there's a solid chance his odds won't shorten for the foreseeable future, at least until the season is well underway.
Consider a multitude of factors
It's also important to consider all factors. For example, I'm backing Shesterkin to win the Vezina Trophy. He's a former winner who enjoyed a masterful playoff run. In addition, he endured a mediocre 2023-24 regular season. Oftentimes, players of his caliber don't underperform in consecutive seasons.
Investigating their contract situation is another critical component to look into before locking in your futures award play. Shesterkin becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2025-26, meaning he's playing to win and elicit as much money as possible when he signs a new contract or a contract extension.
Durability is another vital aspect of picking a winner. Is the player you're considering backing prone to injury, and how much will their chances be impacted if a high-profile teammate is sidelined?
A good case study for that is MacKinnon, who stepped up in Landeskog and, at least for a third of the 2023-24 campaign, Nichushkin's absence.
Look at whether the player has won the award before and source whether they are on an upward trajectory or experiencing a disconcerting extended slide.
When picking a player for the Hart Trophy, consider their position. A defenseman hasn't won that award since 2000, and goaltenders win far less frequently than forwards. For the Norris Trophy, remember that it's usually handed out to the best offensive defenseman. Those who play on high-scoring teams with explosive offenses have a better likelihood of securing the award.
Understanding NHL futures odds
Use our odds calculator to determine a wager's potential payout and implied probability. Futures odds for end-of-season awards don't shift as often and rarely move dramatically.
Regarding odds, +100 implies a 50% probability and is referred to as even-money. For example, a $100 winning wager at +100 odds pays a profit of $100 and a total payout of $200. Minus-money odds infer a probability of over 50%, decreasing the payout the larger the negative number. The larger the negative number, the higher the probability.
The higher the positive number, the longer the odds, the higher the profit, and the lower the winning probability. For example, +200 odds imply a probability of 33.33%. You'll earn a profit of $200 and a total payout of $300 on a winning $100 wager.
You'll see incremental shifts throughout the season based on various factors, including point production, hot streaks, cold streaks, the team's performance levels (slides and winning streaks), injuries to the player in focus or ailments to influential teammates.
Besides the Art Ross, Rocket Richard, and Jennings Trophy, most awards are voted on by the Professional Hockey Writers' Association or general managers. It's essential to understand that most awards are, to some extent, subjective.
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