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4 Nations Face-Off MVP Odds: Our Picks & Predictions to Shine in Canada vs. USA

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: February 20, 2025 5:31 PM EST • 5 min 33 sec read.

The 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds.
Pictured: Team United States goalie Connor Hellebuyck makes a blocker save against Team Canada. Photo by Eric Bolte via Imagn Images

Winning the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP is like being named the best 18-year-old whiskey among a vast collection of 18-year-old whiskeys.

The five 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds favorites — Connor Hellebuyck, Connor McDavid, Sidney Crosby, Nathan MacKinnon, and Jake Guenztel, reads like a who's who of future Hall of Famers.  

And more than likely, the lionized one will also be celebrating winning the 4 Nations Face-Off final.

Our 4 Nations Face-Off MVP prediction highlights the favorites, the best bet, and a long shot for Thursday's Canada vs. USA final at TD Garden in Boston (8 p.m. ET, ESPN). 

Who is favored to win 4 Nations Face-Off MVP?

Hellebuyck is the betting favorite to win the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP award with +250 odds, which implies a 28.57% win probability. He's the backbone of an American team that has been the favorites by the 4 Nations Face-Off odds for most of the tournament. 

4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds. 
Pictured: Team United States goalie Connor Hellebuyck makes a save against Team Canada. Photo by Eric Bolte via Imagn Images

🔢 Latest 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds & betting lines

Here are the latest 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds and betting lines via FanDuel ahead of Thursday's Canada vs. USA final at 8 p.m. ET. Be sure to check out the rest of our NHL picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NHL.

🇺🇸 Connor Hellebuyck (USA), +200 ($10 to win $20)
🇨🇦 Connor McDavid (Canada), +320 ($10 to win $32)
🇨🇦 Sidney Crosby (Canada), +380 ($10 to win $38)
🇨🇦 Nathan MacKinnon (Canada), +750 ($10 to win $75)
🇺🇸 Zach Werenski (USA), +1600 ($10 to win $160)
🇺🇸 Jake Guentzel (USA), +1900 ($10 to win $190)
🇺🇸 Jack Eichel (USA), +1900 ($10 to win $190)
🇺🇸 Matthew Tkachuk (USA), +1900 ($10 to win $190)
🇺🇸 Brady Tkachuk (USA), +4600 ($10 to win $460)

4 Nations Face-Off MVP favorites & best odds

Here's a look at the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP favorites ahead of Canada vs. USA, along with each player's best odds to win the award across our best sportsbooks.

🗽 Connor Hellebuyck, USA (+250 via DraftKings)

The Vezina Trophy odds runaway favorite is the X-Factor, the one person who can steal the championship for the Americans. 

When Hellebuyck dons his national colors, he's a staggering 11-1-0, posting a 1.50 goals-against average and a .942 save percentage. If Hellebuyck replicates those numbers in the final, he will be anointed MVP. 

The Winnipeg Jets netminder has allowed just two goals on 48 shots, good for a sterling .958 save percentage. While he didn't face a heavy workload against Canada in the round robin (26 shots), he finished with 2.79 goals saved above expected, underpinning his saves' high degree of difficulty. 

If you think Team USA will win, back Hellebuyck for MVP. 

🍁 Connor McDavid, Canada (+320 via FanDuel)

Unlike his Conn Smythe win from last season's Stanley Cup Final, I can't foresee McDavid winning MVP without shepherding Canada to glory. McDavid has been waiting his whole life for a moment like this. There's no player — aside from Crosby — who rises to the occasion like he does. 

Only MacKinnon can complete with his elusiveness, speed, tenacity and trickery. McDavid enters the final on the back of a two-point performance against the Finns, a game in which he dominated from the opening puck drop. He has four points, one behind Crosby and Zach Werenski for the tournament lead. 

McDavid always represents a sound investment, and it's no different this time around. 

🍁 Sidney Crosby, Canada (+450 via DraftKings)

Captain Canada. The legend who scored the golden goal against the Americans to lift Canada to glory in the 2010 Olympics and the man who transformed Jake Guentzel into an elite goal-scorer. Continuing the 18-year-old whiskey theme, Crosby ages like one, and he's a demonstrative performance away from another feather in his fully adorned Canada cap. 

Crosby has five points, tied with Werenski for the tournament lead, and he's the sole reason Canada prevailed against Sweden in the opener. He also alleviated an entire nation of heart palpitations by finishing off the Finns. 

🍁 Nathan MacKinnon, Canada (+800 via DraftKings)

The only player who can take a game by the scruff of its neck like McDavid, MacKinnon transformed into beast mode against Finland, scoring two. Crosby set up two of his three goals in the tournament. The added benefit of playing with the captain could tip the MVP scale in his favor. 

Our 4 Nations Face-Off MVP predictions, picks & best bets

Here are my best 4 Nations Face-Off MVP predictions and picks to win the award. You can also check out our NHL player prop odds tool for the latest NHL odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.  

  • My MVP prediction: Connor McDavid (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best value bet: Nathan MacKinnon (+800 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best long shot: Matthew Tkachuk (+1700 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds. 
Pictured: Team Canada forward Connor McDavid celebrates with teammates. Photo by Eric Bolte via Imagn Images

🏆 4 Nations Face-Off MVP prediction: Connor McDavid (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I firmly believe McDavid is the best player on the planet, and I've been bullish on that narrative. When he retires, he'll be spoken in the same breath as the Great One.

Even against the world's best, McDavid, among the Hart Trophy odds favorites yet again, has proven he can step it up to an uncharted level, as he showcased during his magical moment against Hellebuyck in the first period of the round-robin meeting. 

I feel Canada has to win for McDavid to receive the accolade. That's who I backed in my Canada vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off final prediction, so I'm all aboard the McDavid train. A winning $10 bet will profit $30. 

💎 Best value bet to win 4 Nations Face-Off MVP: Nathan MacKinnon (+800 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

MacKinnon at +800? Yes, please. The Canadian bull can put the nation on his back; he's that good. The question is whether he'll be able to against an elite defense he struggled against in the round-robin bout.

That's one of the reasons I'm backing him, though. He's not the kind of competitor who gets dominated twice in less than a week by the same team. I'll take my chances with the reigning Hart Trophy winner. A winning $10 bet will profit $80. 

🎯 Best long shot to win 4 Nations Face-Off MVP: Matthew Tkachuk (+1700 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Matthew Tkachuk comprises half of the bash brothers, and his beast mode is like no other. He kicked off the tournament with two goals and an assist against Finland before fighting Brandon Hagel within a second of the opening puck drop against Canada. His competitiveness and ability to ratchet his intensity in the most clutch moments have me believing he can win this award. 

However, Tkachuk missed the third period against Canada and the subsequent game against Sweden due to an upper-body injury. My main concern is whether there is any residual, debilitating pain preventing him from going full beast mode. If there is, he won't win this award. A winning $10 bet will yield a $170 profit. 

🚨 More Canada vs. USA expert picks & predictions

📺 How to watch Canada vs. USA: 4 Nations Face-Off final

📅 Date: Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025
🕗 Time: 8 p.m. ET
📍 Location: TD Garden (Boston)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+, Fubo, Sling

❓ 4 Nations Face-Off MVP FAQs

Who is the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP favorite?

Trading at +250, Connor Hellebuyck is the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP favorite. His odds imply a 28.57% win probability, according to our odds calculator. 

Who is favored to win Canada vs. USA hockey?

There is no favorite between Canada and the USA. It's a pick'em contest, according to our best sports betting apps. 

What time is Canada vs. USA hockey?

The Canada vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off final is tonight at 8 p.m. ET.

How to watch Canada vs. USA hockey

You can watch the Canada vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off final on Sportsnet, EPSN, Sportsnet+, ESPN+, Fubo, and Sling.

🏒 Best NHL betting sites for Canada vs. USA in 4 Nations Face-Off final

Looking to bet on the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds for Canada vs. USA? Here are our best NHL betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's game at 8 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.