Steelers vs. Browns Parlay Picks & Predictions: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds
In what could be our first snow game of the year in the NFL, the Browns look to spoil the Steelers' rise to the top of the AFC North standings. The Steelers come into the night ranking ninth in the Super Bowl odds.
Our Steelers vs. Browns parlay picks based on our best Thursday Night Football odds envision a smashmouth environment, with Najee Harris feasting on a Cleveland run defense that's been reeling since LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah left the lineup.
The Browns host the Steelers (-3.5) at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland on Thursday at 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video).
Mike Spector dove further into the matchup in his Steelers vs. Browns prediction.
Steelers vs. Browns parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Steelers -3.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Najee Harris Over 73.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Cedric Tillman Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +444 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.38%
SGP predictions for Steelers vs. Browns
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Steelers -3.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though this is a divisional road spot for Pittsburgh, it’s been surprising to see this spread move in favor of Cleveland after opening at Steelers -4.5.
- The Browns are 1-4 outright and 1-4 against the spread in home games, posting a minus-7 average margin against the spread at home (sixth-worst in the NFL)
- Each of Cleveland’s home losses have come by six-plus points
- The Steelers are the NFL’s best team ATS this season, going 4-1 on the road and 8-2 overall
FanDuel lists the Steelers with -105 odds against the 3.5-point spread, a better value than the -110 price posted at all of our other NFL parlay betting sites.
Najee Harris Over 73.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Although Najee Harris hasn’t always been the most efficient back throughout his NFL career, his 4.0 yards per carry this season fuel the belief he'll do enough to produce a quality output against the Browns.
- Harris has accumulated 18-plus rushing attempts in each of his last four games
- Cleveland has allowed 131.7 rushing yards per outing, and the Saints just lit up the Browns' defense for 214 yards on the ground last week
- The Browns have allowed 4.8 YPC (27th in NFL), including a league-worst 6.0 YPC over their last three games
This line has been shifting constantly all day Thursday morning across our NFL prop betting sites, so be sure to use our props tool to scan for the latest odds before submitting your TNF parlay.
Our Phil Wood is also backing Harris as part of his Steelers vs. Browns TNF prop bets, as is Andrew Brennan in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for TNF.
Cedric Tillman Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Despite the weather concerns and potential for a snow globe environment, our projection for a negative game script could force Jameis Winston to throw plenty in this contest. And that will benefit his leading receiver Cedric Tillman.
- Tillman has drawn eight-plus targets in four straight games
- He's cleared this 42.5-yard receiving line in each of his last four contests
- Tillman has posted 12.58 yards per reception over that period too
FanDuel is posting Tillman’s receiving total at 42.5 yards, one yard lower than at our other best sportsbooks. The +444 odds at FanDuel were optimal when we placed our SGP. But there's volatility tied to the Harris prop, so make sure to shop around before submitting.
A winning $10 wager on this parlay at FanDuel would result in a $44.40 profit as part of your NFL Week 12 predictions.
Steelers vs. Browns odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Steelers vs. Browns
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
- How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
- Weather: 36 degrees, 90% chance of precipitation, wind 12 mph W
- Favorite: Steelers -3.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
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