NFL Playoff Predictions: Best Bets to Make & Miss Postseason Entering Week 13
There are only six weeks left in the NFL regular season, and the latest NFL playoffs odds still offer plenty of value in predicting the 14-team postseason field.
Our playoff predictions and best bets to make and miss the NFL playoffs focus on the best plus-money values down the stretch beyond the Super Bowl odds favorites.
Here is a look at the NFL playoff picture and best bets to make the playoffs as we look ahead to the NFL Week 13 odds.
NFL playoff picture entering Week 13
NFL playoff picture courtesy of NFL.com as of Tuesday, Nov. 26.
| Seed | AFC | NFC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) | Detroit Lions (10-1) |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills (9-2) | Philadelphia Eagles (9-2) |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) | Seattle Seahawks (6-5) |
| 4 | Houston Texans (7-5) | Atlanta Falcons (6-5) |
| 5 | Baltimore Ravens (8-4) | Minnesota Vikings (9-2) |
| 6 | Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) | Green Bay Packers (8-3) |
| 7 | Denver Broncos (7-5) | Washington Commanders (7-5) |
NFL playoff odds entering Week 13
My projected NFL playoff field
NFL playoff odds from our best NFL betting sites entering Week 13.
AFC playoff projections
| Seed | Team | Best odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills | OFF | N/A |
| 2 | Chiefs | OFF | N/A |
| 3 | Ravens | -2000 via BetMGM | 95.24% |
| 4 | Texans | -1300 via FanDuel | 92.86% |
| 5 | Steelers | -1050 via FanDuel | 91.30% |
| 6 | Chargers | -850 via FanDuel | 89.47% |
| 7 | Broncos | -152 via BetRivers | 60.32% |
NFC playoff projections
| Seed | Team | Best odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lions | OFF | N/A |
| 2 | Eagles | OFF | N/A |
| 3 | Falcons | -285 via DraftKings | 74.03% |
| 4 | Cardinals | +126 via FanDuel | 44.25% |
| 5 | Vikings | -10000 via DraftKings | 99.01% |
| 6 | Packers | -1250 via BetRivers | 92.59% |
| 7 | Buccaneers | +118 via BetRivers | 45.87% |
Best value bets to make NFL playoffs
Cardinals (+126)
All four NFC West teams have plus-money odds to make the playoffs, but one of them is guaranteed a spot by virtue of winning the division.
Injuries have put the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers one game back after blowout losses in Week 12. Los Angeles simply doesn't look like a playoff team right now, and San Francisco faces the fifth-toughest remaining schedule with key players still on the sidelines.
The Seattle Seahawks have the edge after beating the rival Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, but they'll have to travel to Arizona in a critical Week 15 matchup. Seattle will likely be an underdog in that one and potentially every game the rest of the way.
Meanwhile, Kyler Murray and Co. face the easiest remaining schedule in the division and will host the 49ers in Week 18 in a game that could secure their playoff fate.
Most projection models give the Cardinals better than a 50% chance of winning the division - roughly twice the odds of the Seahawks. These +128 odds via FanDuel imply a 43.86% chance of them making the postseason, which feels like the best value left on the board in either conference.
Buccaneers (+118)
I still like the Falcons' chances to ultimately win the NFC South, especially since they already swept their division rivals. But the Buccaneers have a clear path to the postseason even if they don't win the division.
Tampa Bay faces just one team with a winning record (Los Angeles Chargers) over the final six weeks, while it gets to tee off on the Carolina Panthers twice with matchups against the Las Vegas Raiders, Dallas Cowboys, and New Orleans Saints.
The Buccaneers have a 54% chance of making the playoffs entering Week 13, per NFL.com, while these +118 odds via BetRivers suggest a 45.87% chance of them doing so. I'd gladly take a shot at that price on Tampa Bay doing enough against a weak slate to sneak into the NFC field.
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Best value bet to miss NFL playoffs
Commanders (+185)
I have all the respect in the world for the job that Dan Quinn and Jayden Daniels have done to turn around a moribund franchise in a matter of months.
It's still hard for me to ignore the fact that the Commanders have lost three straight games - the latest coming to a Dallas Cowboys team that hadn't won since Week 5 - and still have to face the Eagles and Cowboys again in the final three weeks.
Washington also lost the tiebreaker to Tampa Bay in Week 1, so the margin for error is slim for this group. It doesn't feel like our best sportsbooks are recognizing that with these +185 odds suggesting just a 35.09% chance for this team to backslide down the stretch.
If Daniels shows any signs of being a rookie or the defense continues to give up big plays, we could be staring at a nice profit with these odds via DraftKings turning a $10 bet into a $18.50 profit if the Commanders miss the playoffs.
NFL playoffs schedule
- Wild Card Round: Jan. 11-13
- Divisional Round: Jan. 18-19
- Conference Championships: Jan. 26
- Super Bowl: Feb. 9
How do the NFL playoffs work?
Since 2020, the NFL has featured an expanded playoff field of 14 teams - seven in each conference - eliminating the bye week for the No. 2 seed and extending wild-card weekend to six games spanning from Saturday to Monday.
The No. 1 seed in each conference will still enjoy a bye week in the first round of the playoffs, while the remaining three division winners will host the three wild-card teams with the highest seeds facing the lowest seeds (No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6, No. 4 vs. No. 5).
The winners of those games will advance to the divisional round, where the highest remaining seeds wiill face the lowest seeds. So the No. 1 seed will face the worst-seeded team - which is always the No. 4 seed or worse - while the remaining two teams will meet in the other divisional round matchup.
The two winners in each conference will then meet in the AFC Championship and NFC Championship, which are both played on Championship Sunday, and the respective conference winners will meet two weeks later in the Super Bowl.
NFL betting odds pages
Here are our best NFL betting sites:
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Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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