NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2024-25: Barkley the Overwhelming Favorite
Saquon Barkley took the lead in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds for the first time all year last week. Now it doesn't look like he'll let it go.
The Philadelphia Eagles star turned in a historic performance on Sunday Night Football while rushing for a franchise-record 255 yards, the ninth-most ever in an NFL game. He seized control of the OPOY odds across our best sportsbooks.
He's dealing as a clear favorite ahead of Derrick Henry, who put forth a quality effort with his 140 rushing yards during the Baltimore Ravens' win over the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds 2024-25
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds from our best NFL betting sites entering Week 13.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorites 2024-25
Saquon Barkley (-300)
This race has been trending toward Barkley for a while, as the two-time Pro Bowler had rushed for 100-plus yards in four of his last five games entering Week 12.
Then he ran roughshod over the Los Angeles Rams in one of the best performances in NFL history. Barkley became the first player to rip off two 70-plus-yard touchdown runs in the second half of a game to cement his status as the favorite.
He now leads the NFL in rushing yards per game (126.5) and per carry (6.2), both of which are career highs, and he's a legitimate NFL MVP odds candidate.
These -300 odds at BetMGM suggest he holds a 75% chance of winning this honor as the favorite, and a $10 bet would return a $3.33 profit. At this point, that still might be worth it.
Best odds: -300 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 75%
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Derrick Henry (+350)
Henry was in the pole position not long ago while looking like he'd zoom out to an insurmountable lead. That was before the Ravens stopped using him like a workhorse.
While he's fallen below the century mark in rushing during three of the last five weeks, Henry is still one of the best running backs on the planet. Henry could make a case for himself again if he can continue to produce and keep scoring touchdowns for one of the NFL's best offenses, but probably only if Barkley slips.
That's why FanDuel is offering +350 odds on Henry to win this award for the second time in his career, which would turn a $10 bet into a $35 profit if he does.
Best odds: +350 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 22.22%
My NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds player to watch
Ja'Marr Chase (+1000)
At this rate, it'll probably take both Barkley and Henry falling off a cliff for anyone else to win this award. If someone does, my bet is that it would be a receiver.
Nobody is better equipped to take advantage of that potential opportunity than Chase, who leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,056) and touchdowns (12) while ranking third in receptions (73).
If the Cincinnati Bengals manage to make the playoffs - which remains a long shot - then Chase deserves plenty of the credit. Could that be enough to help him cash at these +1000 odds through FanDuel? Probably not, but I can't fault anyone for taking a flier.
Best odds: +1000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 9.09%
How to bet NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures odds
Betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year typically involves wagering on which player will be awarded the league's Offensive Player of the Year title at the end of the regular season. Here are steps to bet on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Offensive Player of the Year. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Consider running backs and wide receivers primarily.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the season, keep an eye on odds fluctuations and player performances. As the season progresses, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can decide to cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the Offensive Player of the Year.
Remember, betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' performances throughout the season.
How to read NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds
Reading NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player winning the Offensive Player of the Year. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, and betting patterns.
If Tyreek Hill gets +500 odds and Christian McCaffrey gets +1000, Hill is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Hill and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds over time
(Most recent odds via bet365)
| Player | June 10 | Sept. 4 | Oct. 7 | Nov. 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | +4000 | +2200 | +450 | -300 |
| Justin Jefferson | +700 | +1000 | +650 | +5000 |
| Tyreek Hill | +550 | +700 | +6000 | +30000 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +600 | +750 | OFF | OFF |
| CeeDee Lamb | +800 | +800 | +2000 | +25000 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +1100 | +1100 | +1000 | +850 |
| Breece Hall | +2800 | +1400 | +6000 | +30000 |
| Bijan Robinson | +3000 | +1400 | +5000 | +20000 |
| Jonathan Taylor | +2800 | +2200 | +4000 | +30000 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +2500 | +1600 | +3000 | +15000 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds history
| Season | Player | Preseason odds | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | +1500 | 49ers | RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | +1200 | Vikings | WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | +8000 | Rams | WR |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | NA | Titans | RB |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | NA | Saints | WR |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | NA | Chiefs | QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | NA | Rams | RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | NA | Falcons | QB |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | NA | Panthers | QB |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray | NA | Cowboys | RB |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year winners by position
| Position | OPOY wins |
|---|---|
| Running back | 27 |
| Quarterback | 20 |
| Wide reciever | 4 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year winners by team
| Team | OPOY wins |
|---|---|
| 49ers | 6 |
| Rams | 6 |
| Broncos | 3 |
| Oilers | 4 |
| Saints | 3 |
| Vikings | 3 |
| Bills | 2 |
| Chargers | 2 |
| Chiefs | 2 |
| Colts | 2 |
| Commanders | 2 |
| Lions | 2 |
| Patriots | 2 |
| Raiders | 2 |
| Titans | 2 |
| Bears | 1 |
| Bengals | 1 |
| Cowboys | 1 |
| Dolphins | 1 |
| Falcons | 1 |
| Panthers | 1 |
| Ravens | 1 |
| Seahawks | 1 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorite with his -300 odds implying a 75% probability that he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Offensive Player of the Year last year?
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey was crowned the 2023-24 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
Who has won the most Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Marshall Faulk and Earl Campbell are tied for the most Offensive Player of the Year wins with three each.
Who was the last back-to-back Offensive Player of the Year winner?
Marshall Faulk was the last player to win consecutive OPOY Awards. He won three in a row from 1999 to 2001.
Who won the most consecutive Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Faulk (1999, 2000, 2001) and Earl Campbell (19778, 1979, 1980) won three consecutive OPOY Awards.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Player of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Offensive Player of the Year will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
When was the first Offensive Player of the Year Award?
Washington running back Larry Brown won the first OPOY Award in 1972.
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