2025 NFL Draft Odds: Cam Ward Favorite To Go No. 1 to Titans; Hunter, Carter Trail
The Philadelphia Eagles are officially Super Bowl champions, which means the NFL is turning its attention to the most important event of the offseason, the NFL draft.
Miami quarterback Cam Ward leads the 2025 NFL Draft odds, with the Tennessee Titans and new GM Mike Borgonzi holding the No. 1 pick. However, he's far from a sure thing to hear his name called first on April 24 in Green Bay.
Ward's most significant competition to be the first overall pick comes from Penn State pass-rusher Abdul Carter and Colorado Heisman Trophy odds winner Travis Hunter. But will the Titans really pass on a QB? And where does Shedeur Sanders stand in all of this?
Who will be the No. 1 pick of the NFL draft?
Our live NFL draft odds for the No. 1 pick update in real time.
- Ward opened at +1500 to be the No. 1 pick prior to the college football season before becoming a Heisman finalist with the Hurricanes while shortening his odds to minus-money
- Carter opened at +4000 and was as long as +6500 just a few months ago, but he's been shooting up the oddsboard as more NFL draftniks tout him as the top player in the class
- Hunter's Heisman season helped cut his odds from +2500, but he's been bouncing between +1000 and +220 for the last few weeks
- Despite opening as the favorite to go No. 1 (+100), the love for Sanders has cooled, but he remains one of just four players with odds shorter than +6600
- No other player in this draft class is getting any buzz to be the top pick, though a handful of defensive linemen like Shemar Stewart, Mason Graham, Jalon Walker, and Mykel Williams could rise
Who will be the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft?
Cam Ward odds to be No. 1 pick (-106)
Rumors have been swirling around which quarterback the Titans might prefer between Ward and Sanders since the second the Titans secured the No. 1 pick in the draft. And early rumors indicate they love Ward.
That's no surprise after the Heisman finalist accounted for 43 total touchdowns with 31 big-time throws while putting up a 76.5% adjusted completion rate during his lone season with the Hurricanes, according to PFF.
Many NFL draftniks view him as the clear top QB in the class. However, he's far from a lock to be the top pick, and The Athletic's Dane Brugler has even said Ward would likely have been the fifth quarterback selected at best last year.
The hiring of Borgonzi adds even more mystery to the pick. The former Chiefs assistant GM said the Titans won't pass on a "generational talent," which could imply they're eyeing Carter or Hunter. There's just too much working against Ward right now to back him at a price that pays only a $10 profit on a $9.43 winning bet.
Best odds: -106 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 51.46%
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Abdul Carter odds to be No. 1 pick (+400)
If a quarterback doesn't go No. 1 overall, history tells us it'll be an edge-rusher. Jadeveon Clowney, Myles Garrett, and Travon Walker are the only three non-quarterbacks to be picked first in the last decade, all of whom played defensive end.
Carter boasts the most upside of any pass-rusher in this class, and he was our No. 1 pick to watch when his odds were as long as +6500 in November. Since then, Daniel Jeremiah has slotted him going No. 1 in his first mock draft while ranking Carter as the top player in the class, cutting his odds drastically.
The unanimous All-American was second in the country in pressures at Penn State this past season (66) and 13th in pass rush win rate (22.7%). He offers the best value right now, with a $10 winning bet paying a $40 profit.
Best odds: +400 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 20%
Travis Hunter odds to be No. 1 pick (+425)
Some consider Hunter the top prospect in the entire draft, but he just doesn't play the most important position. The Heisman Trophy winner would likely be an undisputed top-two selection on many teams' draft boards. But unfortunately for the versatile star, Tennessee is in desperate need of a quarterback.
Could the Titans trade out of the pick with a team that's infatuated with the Colorado superstar? Or could Tennessee even just take Hunter? Hunter's odds to go No. 1 at our best NFL betting sites moved from +1000 to no longer than +425 in the last few weeks following Borgonzi being hired.
There's also the question of how to deploy Hunter in the NFL. Does he play cornerback and moonlight at receiver? Vice versa? Play just one spot full time? Or attempt to truly go both ways? He managed to average 2.51 yards per route run with 11 contested catches last season while allowing just a 39.9 NFL QB rating on defense, so maybe a team would be willing to let him play both positions.
Best odds: +425 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 19.05%
Our best long shot to be No. 1 pick in 2025 NFL Draft
Shedeur Sanders odds to be No. 1 pick (+525)
Deion Sanders' son has long been touted as one of the top quarterbacks in this class. His 4,134 yards and 37 touchdowns helped lead Colorado to its most successful season since 2016. He was also the only QB in the country with more than 22 big-time throws (26) and fewer than 10 turnover-worthy plays (eight).
With Tennessee needing a quarterback, Sanders is the most logical player to back outside of Ward, Hunter, and Carter. Though he's polarizing as a passer, Sanders is more accurate than Ward despite lacking the same physical tools. And Titans head coach Brian Callahan comes from the Cincinnati Bengals, where Joe Burrow's accuracy has turned him into a superstar.
The former Buffaloes QB was the favorite to be the No. 1 pick not long ago. But he's fallen behind Ward, Hunter, and Carter since opening at +100. If he does manage to hear his name called first in Green Bay, a $10 bet leads to a $52.50 profit.
Best odds: +525 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 16%
2025 NFL Draft odds: Position of No. 1 overall pick
| Position | FanDuel |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | -210 |
| The field | +160 |
NFL franchises live and die by their quarterbacks. That's why a record-tying six QBs were taken during the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft.
However, while quarterbacks have been selected first overall in eight of the last 10 draft classes, the 2025 class doesn't necessarily come with an obvious top QB. That makes it difficult to gauge the direction a QB-needy team like the Titans will go if it keeps the No. 1 pick.
It's therefore tough to bet into this market. Quarterbacks dominate the first overall pick, but neither Sanders nor Ward is viewed as a blue-chip top choice yet. It's especially difficult to feel confident in the -210 odds when the 2025 NFL Draft is shaping up to be loaded at other premium positions such as edge-rusher and defensive tackle.
2025 NFL Draft order
| Pick | Team |
|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee Titans |
| 2 | Cleveland Browns |
| 3 | New York Giants |
| 4 | New England Patriots |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 6 | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 7 | New York Jets |
| 8 | Carolina Panthers |
| 9 | New Orleans Saints |
| 10 | Chicago Bears |
| 11 | San Francisco 49ers |
| 12 | Dallas Cowboys |
| 13 | Miami Dolphins |
| 14 | Indianapolis Colts |
| 15 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 16 | Arizona Cardinals |
| 17 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 18 | Seattle Seahawks |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 20 | Denver Broncos |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 22 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 23 | Green Bay Packers |
| 24 | Minnesota Vikings |
| 25 | Houston Texans |
| 26 | Los Angeles Rams |
| 27 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 28 | Detroit Lions |
| 29 | Washington Commanders |
| 30 | Buffalo Bills |
| 31 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 32 | Philadelphia Eagles |
Opening odds for No. 1 pick in 2025 NFL Draft
Odds via DraftKings.
- Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado: +100
- Carson Beck, QB, Georgia: +300
- Quinn Ewers, QB, Texas: +300
- Drew Allar, QB, Penn State: +850
- Jalen Milroe, QB, Alabama: +950
- Jaxson Dart, QB, Ole Miss: +1200
- Cam Ward, QB, Miami: +1500
- Mykel Williams, DL, Georgia: +1500
- Patrick Payton, EDGE, Florida State: +1800
- Connor Weigman, QB, Texas A&M: +2000
- James Pearce Jr., EDGE, Tennessee: +2000
- Will Campbell, OT, LSU: +2500
- Mason Graham, DT, Michigan: +2500
- Travis Hunter, WR/CB, Colorado: +2500
- Harold Perkins Jr., LB, LSU: +2500
- Kelvin Banks Jr., OT, Texas: +3000
- JT Tuimoloau, EDGE, Ohio State: +3500
- Will Johnson, CB, Michigan: +3500
- Abdul Carter, EDGE, Penn State: +4000
- Deone Walker, DT, Kentucky: +5000
NFL Draft betting history
| Year | Pick | Position | School | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Caleb Williams | QB | USC | -1000 |
| 2023 | Bryce Young | QB | Alabama | -1000 |
| 2022 | Travon Walker | DE | Georgia | +140 |
| 2021 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | Clemson | -1000 |
| 2020 | Joe Burrow | QB | LSU | OFF |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | QB | Oklahoma | -400 |
| 2018 | Baker Mayfield | QB | Oklahoma | -175 |
| 2017 | Myles Garrett | DE | Texas A&M | -400 |
| 2016 | Jared Goff | QB | California | -850 |
| 2015 | Jameis Winston | QB | Florida State | -1500 |
| 2014 | Jadeveon Clowney | DE | South Carolina | -400 |
How to bet on the NFL draft
Betting on the NFL draft involves understanding the various types of wagers available and conducting thorough research on prospects and team needs. Start by familiarizing yourself with the different types of bets commonly offered, such as predicting which player will be selected first overall, the order in which players will be drafted, Over/Under bets on the draft position of specific players, and prop bets related to individual player performances or team selections.
Additionally, consider factors like team needs, draft strategies, and pre-draft rumors that could impact player selections. This early in the process, it's helpful to look at mock drafts from respected draftniks to get a better idea of which players are viewed as the top talents heading into the college football season.
How to read NFL draft odds
Odds are typically shown in formats like +300 or -150. Positive odds (e.g., +300) indicate how much profit you'd make on a $100 bet. For example, if a player has +300 odds to be the first overall pick, a $100 bet would win you $300, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $400. Negative odds (e.g., -150) show how much you need to bet to win $100. So, if a player has -150 odds, you'd need to bet $150 to win $100, plus your $150 stake, totaling $250.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of an event happening. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, team needs, and insider information that could affect draft decisions.
For example, if Ward is favored to be the first overall pick at -125, and Sanders is at +105, Bec is considered more likely to be selected first. Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and evaluate potential returns based on how the draft might play out.
2025 NFL Draft FAQs
Who is favored to be the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft?
Miami quarterback Cam Ward is the favorite to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. His odds (+100) imply a 50% chance he'll be the top pick by the Tennessee Titans.
Who has the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft?
The Tennessee Titans own the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft after finishing with the NFL's worst record (3-14) in the regular season last year.
Who was the first overall pick last year?
The Chicago Bears selected former USC quarterback Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, as was expected by the pre-draft odds.
When is the 2025 NFL Draft?
The first round of the 2025 NFL Draft will be held on Thursday, April 24, and the event concludes on Saturday, April 26.
Where is the 2025 NFL Draft?
The 2025 NFL Draft will be held at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisc.
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