NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2024-25: Tomlin the New Favorite; Campbell, Harbaugh Close Behind
Mike Tomlin is the Coach of the Year Odds favorite entering Week 12 after a massive shakeup of the odds leaderboard.
Mike Tomlin has officially taken pole position as the NFL Coach of the Year odds favorite across our NFL prop betting sites after his Pittsburgh Steelers won their fifth straight, beating the Baltimore Ravens 18-16.
Dan Campbell's odds lengthened slightly despite his Detroit Lions winning their eighth straight. The Lions head coach is right on Tomlin's heels, and so is Jim Harbaugh after the Los Angeles Chargers won their fourth straight, beating the Cincinnati Bengals at home.
It sets up an exciting and intriguing final seven weeks of the season. Here's how the Coach of the Year odds look at our best NFL betting sites entering Week 12.
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Tomlin | +300 | 25.00% | $30 |
| Dan Campbell | +400 | 20.00% | $40 |
| Jim Harbaugh | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| Jonathan Gannon | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Kevin O'Connell | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Dan Quinn | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Sean Payton | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Sean McDermott | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Matt Lafleur | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Andy Reid | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
Here are some other newsworthy tidbits:
- Dan Quinn's odds continue to free fall, lengthening from +650 to +850 after the Washington Commanders' Week 11 loss
- Andy Reid's odds lengthened the most of the 10 favorites after the Kansas City Chiefs lost to fellow Super Bowl odds contenders, the Buffalo Bills. They moved from +600 to +2500
- Sean Payton and Sean McDermott had a successful Week 11, with their odds moving from +2600 to +1400 and +4000 to +2500, respectively
NFL Coach of the Year favorite
Mike Tomlin (+300)
If Tomlin were to hold on and win, it would be a legacy award of sorts since the legend somehow hasn't been given the honor despite guiding his team to six division titles and a Super Bowl win since taking over back in 2007.
As has often been the case under Tomlin, the Steelers boast a strong defense that anchors the club. But what's made this season different and perhaps trophy-worthy for Tomlin are the quarterback questions he's needed to navigate en route to winning five straight games, including the latest against the Super Bowl contender and AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens.
The Steelers are 8-2 while sitting atop an imposing division. The team managed Justin Fields well and squeezed the most out of him before turning to Russell Wilson, who looks rejuvenated and hasn't lost in four starts.
After the win against the Ravens, Tomlin's odds shortened from +450 to +300, an implied probability shift of 18.18% to 25%. But he has some stiff competition atop the leaderboard entering Week 12.
A winning $10 bet on Tomlin now would result in a profit of $30.
Best odds: +300 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 25%
My Coach of the Year candidate to watch
Dan Campbell (+400)
Campbell is the best Coach of the Year candidate. While I'm sure you're growing tired of us saying that, Campbell has led his team to eight straight wins, and his Lions boast the best record (tied with the Chiefs) and the best against-the-spread (ATS) mark (8-2).
Speaking of ATS records, ours is 71-47 since Week 4 as we offer our NFL Week 12 picks against the spread for every game. Campbell's Coach of the Year stock was further reinforced after the Lions' improbable and inspirational victory in Houston.
Down 16 points at halftime, the Lions found a way despite their usually safe and reliable quarterback throwing five interceptions. That victory under such stiff adversity should serve them well in the playoffs.
Campbell then oversaw another lopsided home win in Week 11, this time against the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars.
At DraftKings, his odds moved from +2500 to +800 after the win over the Vikings. On Oct. 9, his odds were at +3000. Campbell's odds shortened significantly again following the win over the Texans.
He's now trading around +260 to +400, with FanDuel offering the best price. A winning $10 bet would yield a $40 profit.
Best odds: +400 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 20%
NFL Coach of the Year odds over time
Odds via bet365
| Coach | June 11 | Aug. 22 | Nov. 19 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Harbaugh | +600 | +800 | +500 |
| Matt Eberflus | +1200 | +1000 | +50000 |
| DeMeco Ryans | +1200 | +1200 | +10000 |
| Matt LaFleur | +900 | +1000 | +2500 |
| Raheem Morris | +1200 | +1200 | +6000 |
| Jonathan Gannon | +2500 | +1400 | +600 |
| Dan Campbell | +2500 | +2500 | +350 |
| Shane Steichen | +1400 | +1400 | +10000 |
| Dave Canales | +1800 | +1800 | +50000 |
Past NFL Coach of the Year winners
| Year | Coach | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +3000 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | +1400 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | +2500 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +2000 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | +2800 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | +875 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | +5000 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | +2800 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera | Panthers | +4000 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians | Cardinals | N/A |
How to bet on NFL Coach of the Year
When betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different coaches; for example, if Jim Harbaugh is at +500 and Matt Eberflus is at +800, Harbaugh is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the coaches' teams perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember, with odds movement in future markets, it's pretty heavily impacted by wins and perception. If a coach overcomes adversity, their odds will improve. Conversely, their odds will worsen if they underperform or fall short of expectations.
Public betting trends are important, too - if many people are betting on one coach, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Coach of the Year odds
Reading NFL Coach of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a coach winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on team performance, overcoming injuries, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jim Harbaugh has +500 odds and Matt Eberflus has +800 odds, Harbaugh is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Coach of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year?
Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is the favorite to win 2024 NFL Coach of the Year. His odds are trading at +300 through FanDuel, which implies a 25% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
However, Dan Campbell is close behind (+400), and he's listed as the second favorite across our NFL parlay betting sites.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in February 2025.
Who was the NFL Coach of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski won the NFL Coach of the Year award last season.
Who votes for the NFL Coach of the Year?
The NFL Coach of the Year is voted on by the Associated Press and is awarded to the coach who is judged to "have had the most outstanding season."
Who won the NFL's first Coach of the Year Award?
Detroit Lions head coach George Wilson won the first Coach of the Year Award, handed out in 1957.
Who won the most Coach of the Year Awards?
Don Shula won Coach of the Year four times, three with the Baltimore Colts (1964, 1967, 1968) and one with the Miami Dolphins (1972).
How many coaches won Coach of the Year more than once?
Thirteen coaches won the award at least twice, with Shula (4), Bill Belichick (3), and Chuck Knox (3) the only bench bosses to win three or more.
When was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner?
Joe Gibbs was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner. He won the award in 1982 and 1983 as Washington's head coach.
NFL betting odds pages
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