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Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth is tackled by Cincinnati Bengals safety Nick Scott as we look at our First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday Night Football.
Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth is tackled by Cincinnati Bengals safety Nick Scott. Photo by Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA Today Network.

The Pittsburgh Steelers look to increase their lead in the AFC North with a win over the Cleveland Browns to start Week 12. The Steelers sit ninth in the Super Bowl odds entering the week, and standout pass-rusher T.J. Watt is the runaway favorite in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

Week 12 begins with the Steelers traveling to Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns on Prime Video this Thursday night at 8:15 p.m. ET. 

My first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football take a chance on two solid veterans who will get plenty of opportunities to put the first points on the board.

The total for tonight's contest is set at 37 points across the board through the Thursday Night Football odds, showing the best NFL betting sites are expecting a low-scoring game. Both teams are in the bottom third of the league in scoring touchdowns, and the weather forecast calls for snow.

First touchdown scorer predictions Thursday Night Football: Week 12

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Steelers first touchdown scorer prediction: Pat Freiermuth, TE ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +1900 via Caesars | Implied probability: 5.0%

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Believe it or not, Freiermuth leads the Steelers with three touchdown catches this season. He's also second on the team in targets (36) and receptions (31). 

The gritty tight end broke a three-game scoring drought two weeks ago against the Washington Commanders. He found the end zone in back-to-back games before that, too. 

Freiermuth has generated the most red-zone targets (seven) of the Pittsburgh tight ends despite sharing the field more frequently with second-year teammate Darnell Washington.

The Steelers face a Cleveland defense that's allowing the third-most passing touchdowns per game (1.8) at home this season. The Browns have permitted an opposing tight end to cross the goal line in two of their last three games. 

A fair amount of long shots have scored the first touchdown in a game this season, so I’m looking for Freiermuth to turn your $10 bet into a $190 profit for one of your NFL Week 12 predictions.

Even if he connects with Freiermuth, our Mike Spector believes the Steelers' quarterback will struggle in his Russell Wilson picks and predictions.

Browns first touchdown scorer prediction: Nick Chubb, RB ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +650 via bet365 | Implied probability: 13.33%

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Chubb regained control of the Cleveland backfield four weeks ago upon his return from injury, and he's been given 23% of the Browns’ total carries for the season in just four games.

The long-tenured Cleveland running back has reached the end zone once since his season debut. However, he's facing a Steelers defense that's given up the second-most rushing touchdowns per game (1.7) over their last three contests. A running back has crossed the goal line against Pittsburgh in each of their last seven outings as well. 

My confidence in this is lower due to a lack of faith in Cleveland's offense scoring first, though I still believe in Chubb.

The Browns have only put the first touchdown on the board three times this year. They're tied with the Dallas Cowboys for the second-fewest total touchdowns this season.

If Chubb bucks that trend he’ll put $65 dollars in your pocket on a $10 wager.

Spector is high on Chubb too in his Steelers vs. Browns prediction, as is Phil Wood in his Nick Chubb picks and predictions.

And Andrew Brennan is instead eyeing a Browns pass-catcher to score in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for TNF.

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