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Best Super Bowl 2025 Parlay Picks, SGP Odds & Predictions for Chiefs Win

Mike Spector

Last Updated: February 9, 2025 8:50 AM EST • 3 min 29 sec read.

Chiefs Super Bowl 2025 Parlay Picks
Pictured: Detailed view of the jersey of Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Photo by Mark J. Rebilas via Imagn Images

The Kansas City Chiefs are making their fifth Super Bowl appearance in the last six seasons, and there are plenty of tempting same-game parlays to get behind for those who think they will beat the Philadelphia Eagles for a record-setting third straight Super Bowl victory.

Our Chiefs Super Bowl parlay picks, part of the Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl predictions, aim to cash in on a generous three-leg parlay at at DraftKings.

Chiefs vs. Eagles parlay picks: Chiefs to win

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL parlay betting sites.

  • Chiefs to win by 1-6 points (+250) ⭐⭐
  • Patrick Mahomes 2+ passing touchdowns (-180) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Race to 20 points: Chiefs (+105) ⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +650 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 13.33%

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Chiefs Super Bowl SGP predictions: Super Bowl 2025

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Chiefs to win by 1-6 points (+250) ⭐⭐

Patrick Mahomes has played 20 career playoff games. He is 17-3 SU in those games, accumulating 6,138 total yards, 50 total touchdowns, and a 105.8 passer rating. Despite all of that success, our best sports betting apps seemingly have not adjusted to Mahomes’ greatness, as the Chiefs have also covered the spread in 14 of those 20 games.

Mahomes’ 17 playoff wins are already second-most on the all-time postseason wins list, and he and the Chiefs have the experience edge with this being their fifth Super Bowl appearance in the last six seasons.

Given that eight of Kansas City’s 17 wins this season have come by six or fewer points, this “winning margin” play adds more value to our three-leg same-game parlay than backing the Chiefs point spread of -1.5 at -105 odds.

Also, this is the fourth instance providing a rematch of starting quarterbacks in a Super Bowl, and the quarterback who won the first matchup also prevailed in the second in each of the previous three instances. 

Patrick Mahomes 2+ passing touchdowns (-180) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is our most chalky leg of the parlay, but one that will likely need to happen if the Chiefs are to win the game.

Excluding Week 18 when its starters did not play, Kansas City has averaged 2.92 points per drive over its last four games, scoring 27 or more points in three of those.

The Chiefs are playing their best football at the right time, coming off a season-high 32 points in the AFC Championship despite the Bills rushing for 147 yards and winning the time of possession battle.

Mahomes has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 13 of 20 career playoff games, including eight of the last 12. While I expect him to toss at least two touchdown passes, I covered two Mahomes Under plays in our best Super Bowl passing props.

Race to 20 points: Chiefs (+105) ⭐⭐⭐

The Super Bowl LVII matchup between these teams had 73 combined points, the third-most in Super Bowl history. While Philadelphia won the race to 20 points in that matchup by holding a 21-14 lead in the second quarter, Kansas City is a great value bet to reach the 20-point plateau first this time.

The Chiefs ranked 16th in opponents’ points per game when they last met in the Super Bowl but have improved that scoring defense to fourth this season.

The Eagles have also significantly benefited from generating turnovers, as their 41 points scored off turnovers this postseason are already tied for the fourth-most in a single playoff since 2000. However, Kansas City should not oblige much in that department, especially since Mahomes has thrown just one interception in his last nine playoff games.

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Expert Super Bowl 2025 parlay picks

Chiefs vs. Eagles odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

What time is the Super Bowl 2025?

  • When: Sunday, Feb. 9
  • Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Chiefs -1 (-105 via Caesars)

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”