Bears vs. Lions Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: NFL Thanksgiving
The Detroit Lions host the Chicago Bears in an NFC North Thanksgiving clash. The Lions enter as the Super Bowl odds favorite, and their quarterback Jared Goff is a mid-tier NFL MVP odds contender.
The Lions boast the league's top-scoring offense, and they haven’t allowed a touchdown in 10 consecutive quarters. That's important to remember when looking at the best Bears vs. Lions player prop bet odds and touchdown picks.
The Bears have been competitive against divisional opponents in two straight weeks, losing both games by a combined four points. But we're expecting a Lions star to make the difference in our NFL Thanksgiving picks.
Can Caleb Williams and Co. pull off an improbable upset as 10.5-point underdogs when they travel to Ford Field for a 12:30 p.m. (CBS) Thanksgiving game?
Bears vs. Lions NFL player prop bets: Thanksgiving
Odds as of Wednesday and subject to change.
- Jahmyr Gibbs touchdown pick: 2+ touchdowns (+330 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- D’Andre Swift Under 48.5 rushing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caleb Williams Over 33.5 passing attempts (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ touchdowns (+330) ⭐⭐⭐
David Montgomery left last week’s game with a shoulder injury. He’s listed as questionable for this week, but the running back said he was healthy enough to go back on the field in Week 12 had the Lions needed him.
With both Gibbs and Montgomery in the backfield, choosing which one will erupt isn't easy. However, we're backing the former with our Bears vs. Lions parlay.
Though Montgomery has logged one more touchdown than Gibbs this season, both players have registered three games with multiple scores. Gibbs scored two touchdowns last week, so I’m going with the healthier back on a short turnaround.
With a massive matchup against the Green Bay Packers on the horizon, I predict the Lions will rest Montgomery if this game gets out of hand.
The Bears are allowing 1.1 rushing touchdowns per contest, tied for 23rd. With that in mind, Gibbs can hit this prop even if Montgomery plays all of Thursday’s game in his usual role.
Our Mike Spector is also backing Gibbs in his Bears vs. Lions prediction, and he thinks the talented tailback will thrive as a pass-catcher.
Will one of these TDs be of the receiving variety? Our Jared Goff player prop bets certainly expect the Lions quarterback to contribute to the scoring.
Best odds: +330 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 23.26%
Best Bears vs. Lions prop bets
D’Andre Swift Under 48.5 rushing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Swift ran for just 30 yards last week against the Minnesota Vikings. It was his worst performance since Week 3, and the outing broke a streak of seven consecutive games with 50-plus rushing yards.
The Lions are allowing just 94.9 rushing yards per game, and that's dropped to 64.3 over the last three weeks. The Bears’ defense is giving up just 19.7 points per game this season, so perhaps they’ll shut the Lions down long enough to keep this clash close and give Swift more opportunities. But even if that happens the Lions are permitting just 4.3 yards per carry, and that's down to 2.9 across their last three matchups.
The best price for this prop is -110 at bet365, but that book is setting the total at just 45.5. I’ll take the three extra yards through FanDuel for a slightly worse price as part of my NFL Week 13 predictions.
Swift could struggle, but our Andrew Brennan still likes his chances to score as part of his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thanksgiving.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
Caleb Williams Over 33.5 passing attempts (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Williams attempted 47 passes last week, and he’s now thrown 40-plus times in three games this season. He's logged a season-high of 52 attempts, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him come near that number this week.
The Lions' defense has needed to face 36 pass attempts per game, largely because of how quickly the team's offense scores. That’s the fourth-most in the league.
Anthony Richardson only attempted 28 passes last week against Detroit, but the Lions also totaled over 37 minutes of possession in that game. The Bears’ defense is good enough to prevent that from happening, which will give Williams more possessions during an afternoon when he'll be heavily relied upon.
All of our best sportsbooks have set the total at 33.5, and only BetMGM and bet365 are offering a price below -120. We also offered a few other ways to beat on the Bears QB with our Caleb Williams player prop bets.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Bears vs. Lions odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Bears vs. Lions game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 28
- Kickoff: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Field (Detroit)
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: Indoors
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