Anytime Touchdown Scorer Parlay Week 10: Best Anytime TD Picks for Sunday's Slate
The NFL betting experts at Sportsbook Review are taking another crack at nailing a four-leg touchdown parlay, this time after scouring the NFL Week 10 odds tied to the 12 games on the Sunday slate.
The search for a massive win through our anytime touchdown scorer parlay for Week 10 includes picking from some of the games that our best NFL betting sites expect to be high-scoring. Half the Sunday schedule is currently receiving an Over/Under of 45-plus points.
That leads to plenty of touchdown opportunities, including potentially a few for players we've selected who are key parts of contending teams in the Super Bowl odds.
So ride with those picks and more as part of your NFL Week 10 predictions.
Touchdown parlay odds: Week 10
Odds via FanDuel - one of our best NFL parlay betting sites - and subject to change.
- T.J. Hockenson, Vikings (+280 vs. Jaguars)
- Dalton Kincaid, Bills (+120 vs. Colts)
- Jahmyr Gibbs (-145) and David Montgomery (-130) (+229 vs. Texans)
- Jalen Hurts, Eagles (+100 vs. Cowboys)
Total odds: +5411 (1.81% implied probability) | $10 bet pays $541.10 profit
Week 10 anytime touchdown parlay picks
Find the latest and best touchdown odds via our NFL player prop odds tool.
T.J. Hockenson (+270)
Hockenson is only playing his second game of the season after returning from a serious knee injury, and he was pretty quiet last week.
But we can expect him to see an uptick in activity over the coming weeks, and a tilt against the Jacksonville Jaguars' leaky pass defense is a good place to take the next step.
The prolific TE played 75% or more of the Vikings' snaps in 12 of 15 games last season, and last week he was on the field for just 45%. His usage should now increase, though still likely not all the way to the norm.
Hockenson still secured three of four targets despite playing less than half the game last week, showing quarterback Sam Darnold he owns a reliable set of hands in their first game together. The Jaguars have allowed five touchdowns to tight ends this season, the league's second-highest mark.
Fellow Vikings tight ends Josh Oliver (three) and Johnny Mundt (one) have combined for just under a quarter of Minnesota's receiving TDs this season, so the offense isn't afraid to look to the position.
It's time for Hockenson to join the list of Vikings tight ends to reach the end zone.
Best odds: +270 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 27.03%
Dalton Kincaid (+120)
Dalton Kincaid has been quiet considering he plays on a jet-fueled offense that ranks fourth leaguewide in per-game scoring, topping 50 yards just twice this season.
But even if he's not capitalizing on his opportunities, Kincaid is still getting plenty of chances, and that could continue with Keon Coleman likely out and Amari Cooper possibly feeling the affects of a wrist injury. Kincaid is fresh off a season-high 10 targets last week, and he's logged six straight games with six-plus looks.
More importantly, he's utilized in the red zone often. Kincaid has been given eight red-zone targets, putting him tied for fifth at his position, and only two behind the Chiefs' Travis Kelce. Now he'll take that volume, both in the red zone and otherwise, against an Indianapolis Colts defense that's tied for second-worst after allowing five touchdowns to tight ends.
Best odds: +120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 45.45%
Jahmyr Gibbs (-145) + David Montgomery (-130) (+241)
A parlay within a parlay? Are we even allowed to do that?
Well, you'll notice our fearless leader, Esten McLaren, isn't making any picks this week as he enjoys some well-deserved time off. And you know what they say about when the cat's away.
David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs are getting two of the best touchdown projections among running backs on Sunday, but there isn't a ton of value on taking either to score. So, if there isn't value on either of their odds to score, how is parlaying them any different?
Well, these are considered negatively correlated legs because they're running back teammates. That means the algorithms at our best NFL parlay betting sites suggest if one guy scores, the other is less likely to reach paydirt.
However, their projections aren't independent of each other. Gibbs is projected for 0.70 while Monty sits at 0.65 TDs, and those forecasts recognize they're on the same team.
Gibbs and Montgomery have each logged seven touchdowns this season, and they've both scored in four of the team's nine games (Week 1, Week 3, Week 4, and Week 8).
Best odds: +241 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 29.33%
Jalen Hurts (+100)
When I first checked Hurts' anytime touchdown odds, I was shocked that he was dealing at even money to reach the end zone for the fourth consecutive week.
No Jason Kelce, no problem for the Eagles quarterback, who has rushed for six touchdowns in his last three games and eight overall in eight starts this year.
Now he'll face a Cowboys defense that ranks dead last in opponent EPA/rush (0.12) and has allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns overall (13) and third-most to opposing quarterbacks (three).
Not only does that flimsy run defense suggest that Hurts could have success, but it also signals a potential big day on the ground overall, which increases the likelihood of red-zone opportunities for the 223-pound quarterback.
Best odds: +100 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50%
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