March Madness Odds 2025: Duke Favorite Heading into Final Four; Broome Playing Hurt for Auburn
In what has been deemed one of the chalkiest NCAA Tournaments of all-time, the four No. 1 seeds are the only teams that remain alive by the March Madness odds.
Duke heads into the Final Four on April 5 as the betting favorite to take home the title, thanks to Wooden Award odds favorite Cooper Flagg. Meanwhile, No. 1 overall seed Auburn has seen its odds slip after superstar Johni Broome had to play hurt (elbow) in the Tigers' Elite Eight win over Michigan State.
With Florida set to take on Auburn, the Gators have the second-shortest odds while Houston has the longest with the Cougars needing to upset Duke in the Final Four to reach the championship game on April 7.
📊 Live 2025 March Madness odds for the Final Four
The March Madness odds below select the best odds from our best sports betting sites and will update in real time and throughout the tournament as teams are knocked out. Visit Sportsbook Review to get the best college basketball prop bets today.
- Duke: No team in the country has been as dominant as the Blue Devils with Flagg being the clear best player in the country and Duke's defense looking as frightening as its offense in its wins over Arizona and Alabama
- Florida: Walter Clayton Jr. might end up having his jersey retired before season's end after he carried the Gators to a comeback over Texas Tech in the Elite Eight, but it's clear Florida's defense has issues
- Houston: While the Cougars needed a bucket with 0.8 seconds left to beat Purdue in the Sweet 16, they looked like their ferocious selves again in an easy 19-point win against a Tennessee team that was clearly the top No. 2 seed in the tournament
- Auburn: It's hard to gauge where this Auburn team is at with Broome's health up in the air following an elbow injury against Michigan State, especially with the Tigers not looking quite as dominant as expected the last few weeks
🎲 March Madness betting insights
Below are betting insights from BetMGM for this year's March Madness.
Line movement (open to now):
- Duke: +1100 to -110
- Florida: +4000 to +300
- Houston: +1400 to +400
- Auburn: +3000 to +500
Highest ticket percentage
- Duke: 14.1%
- Florida: 9.1%
- Michigan State: 8.7%
Highest handle percentage
- Duke: 40.5%
- Florida: 11.7%
- Houston: 8.9%
Biggest liabilities
- Duke
- Michigan State
- St. John's
Notable bets:
- $500,000 on Duke +350 to win March Madness
- $100,000 on Florida +900 to win March Madness
- $50,000 on Houston +600 to win March Madness
🏆 March Madness favorites 2025
😈 Duke March Madness odds (+105)
Flagg is positioned to potentially become just the fourth true freshman to win the Wooden Award, and he's expected to be the No. 1 pick by the NBA draft odds. That's why Duke had looked like the team to beat for months.
The Blue Devils have won 15 games in a row, including taking the ACC tournament title without Flagg after he was injured against Georgia Tech. In his return to the court in the NCAA Tournament, Flagg has been an unstoppable force, making Jon Scheyer's team look borderline unbeatable.
What makes Scheyer's squad so dangerous is that it's not just Flagg carrying the load, as Kon Knueppel and Tyrese Proctor are two of the top ACC players. With the other three No. 1 seeds having moments where they've struggled, it's hard to back any other program, even if a $10 winning bet pays just a $10.50 profit at Caesars.
Duke is leading the way while getting a whopping 40.5% of the handle at BetMGM and 14.1% of the tickets, with Florida a distance second (9.1% of the tickets and 11.7% of the handle).
📊 Best odds: +105 via Caesars | Implied probability: 48.78%
Caesars is a 21+ product
🐊 Florida March Madness odds (+290)
During the regular season, it was safe to say that Duke, Auburn, and Houston were the best teams in the country, but Florida stepped it up a notch down the stretch to win the SEC tournament and join those three as a No. 1 seed. With the offensive talent on this squad, the Gators have made a run and could take down Auburn in the Final Four.
However, their defense has been suspect at times, which put them in holes against UConn and Texas Tech. With that said, the Gators have been turning it on over the last two months, a stretch that includes wins over Auburn, Texas A&M, Alabama, and Tennessee, leading into their four straight NCAA Tournament wins. The foursome of Walter Clayton Jr., Alijah Martin, Alex Condon, and Will Richard is one of the most lethal in the NCAA Tournament.
Earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament moved the Gators to second on the March Madness oddsboard, and their close wins over the defending champion Huskies and the Red Raiders didn't cause that to change. Clayton looks like the second-best player in the tournament right now after Flagg, but I think the Gators' odds are too short to bet.
📊 Best odds: +290 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 25.64%
🛑 Houston March Madness odds (+400)
Houston has been locked in over the last two months after a bit of a slow start. Kelvin Sampson's squad showed it was ready to compete for a title, bouncing back from a loss to Texas Tech on Feb. 1 to win 10 straight regular-season games before taking the Big 12 tournament title and beating up on Tennessee in the Elite Eight.
The Cougars are top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and they boast an eight-deep lineup made up of fierce defenders and versatile scorers. With LJ Cryer and J'Wan Roberts leading the charge, the Cougars hold a shot to win the NCAA Tournament, which would turn a $10 bet into a $40 profit.
Even with a slightly concerning Houston second half against Gonzaga and a last-second win over Purdue, I think the Cougars are the second-best team in the country after Duke. The winner of the Blue Devils vs. Cougars Final Four game is who I think will take the title.
📊 Best odds: +400 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 20%
Terms and conditions apply.
🐯 Auburn March Madness odds (+525)
A top-three offensive team according to KenPom, Auburn survived while Broome was on the mend, and he was back in full force down the stretch of the regular season. Arguably the best two-way player in the country, Broome had Auburn looking unbeatable before falling to Texas A&M and Alabama in the regular season and Tennessee in the SEC tournament.
While those were two tough losses to stomach, the Tigers were bound to lose a handful of games in an SEC conference many believe to be the toughest ever. However, the inconsistencies of Auburn have reared their head in March Madness after the Tigers didn't look their best against Creighton or Michigan and then had Broome hurt his elbow against Michigan State.
The health of Broome will dictate how far Auburn can go, and while he did return against the Spartans (and immediately hit a three), it was clear his elbow was bothering him and looked like even led to two missed free throws. Luckily it's his right elbow (he's a lefty).
It's going to take the talent around Broome - like Tahaad Pettiford and Chad Baker-Mazara - stepping up to carry Bruce Pearl's team to a title. If they can, a $10 winning bet on the Tigers pays a $52.50 profit at BetMGM. But I'm not sure they can beat Florida if Broome's injury is serious.
📊 Best odds: +525 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 16%
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📈 March Madness opening odds
March Madness opening odds via FanDuel.
- Duke: +1100
- Kansas: +1100
- UConn: +1200
- Houston: +1400
- North Carolina: +1600
- Kentucky: +1800
- Alabama: +2000
- Arizona: +2000
- Baylor: +2000
- Gonzaga: +2000
- Michigan State: +2500
- Purdue: +2500
- Tennessee: +2500
- Auburn: +3000
- Iowa State: +3000
- Texas: +3000
- Creighton: +3500
- Marquette: +3500
- Arkansas: +4000
🔢 March Madness betting history
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | UConn | +2000 |
| 2022-23 | UConn | +8000 |
| 2021-22 | Kansas | +1400 |
| 2020-21 | Baylor | +800 |
| 2019-20 | Canceled | |
| 2018-19 | Virginia | +1350 |
| 2017-18 | Villanova | +2700 |
| 2016-17 | North Carolina | +1900 |
| 2015-16 | Villanova | +2500 |
| 2014-15 | Duke | +900 |
| 2013-14 | Connecticut | +6500 |
| 2012-13 | Louisville | +700 |
💡 How to bet on March Madness
First, pick a reputable sportsbook among our best March Madness betting sites. Check out the odds for various teams; for example, if Duke is at +500 and Gonzaga is at +800, Duke is more favored to win. Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet.
If you bet $100 on Duke at +500 and they win, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Use the March Madness betting promos to get the most out of any wagers on the NCAA Tournament winner.
Now, why do odds move in future markets? It's all about performance and perception. If a team starts performing better or worse than expected, their odds will shift. Injuries to key players can significantly impact a team's chances and their odds.
Changes in team dynamics, coaching, or even new player acquisitions can also affect odds. Public betting trends play a role too; if many people are betting on a particular team, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions can also sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors helps you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
❓March Madness FAQs
Who is the March Madness 2025 favorite?
The Duke Blue Devils are the favorites to win the 2025 NCAA Tournament with +105 odds. Those odds imply a win probability of 48.78%.
Who won March Madness last year?
UConn defeated the Purdue 75-60 to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament. That marked back-to-back victories for the Huskies.
When does March Madness start?
Selection Sunday was Sunday, March 16, with the First Four being played on March 18 and 19. The first round of the NCAA Tournament was then played on March 20 and 21, followed by the second round on March 22 and 23.
The Sweet 16 and Elite Eight were the following week, between March 27 and 30. The Final Four is on April 5 with the championship on April 7.
When will March Madness be decided?
The 2025 national championship game will take place on Monday, April 7.
Where will March Madness be played?
The Final Four of the 2025 NCAA Tournament will be played at the Alamodome in San Antonio.
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
| March Madness odds | March Madness MVP odds |
| Women's March Madness odds | March Madness MVP predictions |
| Final Four odds | March Madness prop bets |
👑 Best March Madness betting sites
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