Who Will Win March Madness MOP Tonight? 2025 NCAA Championship Odds & Expert Picks
After the two biggest stars in the 2025 NCAA Tournament lost in the Final Four, the latest March Madness Most Outstanding Player odds and predictions revolve around Florida's Walter Clayton Jr. and Houston's LJ Cryer ahead of the NCAA Championship tonight (8:50 p.m. ET, CBS).
Those two have been the top scorers for their respective teams and will be the focus for Florida vs. Houston tonight, but is either worth betting as the outright MOP favorites? We break down the latest March Madness MVP odds with our picks to win the award tonight.
👉 Want to bet on tonight's game? Check out our Florida vs. Houston prediction and our best Florida vs. Houston early picks for full coverage of the NCAA Championship.
🏆 March Madness Most Outstanding Player odds & betting favorites
Here are the latest odds to win the Final Four Most Outstanding Player of the 2025 NCAA Tournament via FanDuel ahead of the NCAA Championship tonight, along with their implied probability to win the award.
| ⛹️ Player | 💰 Odds | 🔢 Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 🐊 Walter Clayton Jr. | +100 | 50% |
| 🐆 LJ Cryer | +160 | 38.46% |
| 🐆 Emanuel Sharp | +950 | 9.52% |
| 🐆 J'Wan Roberts | +1600 | 5.88% |
| 🐆 Milos Uzan | +2000 | 4.76% |
| 🐊 Alijah Martin | +2900 | 3.33% |
| 🐊 Will Richard | +8000 | 1.23% |
| 🐊 Thomas Haugh | +8000 | 1.23% |
| 🐊 Alex Condon | +8000 | 1.23% |
| 🐊 Denzel Aberdeen | +21000 | 0.47% |
💪 Who is favored to win March Madness Most Outstanding Player?
🐊 Walter Clayton Jr.
Who else could it be? Clayton has etched his name in March Madness lore after scoring 30 points in the Elite Eight and 34 points in the Final Four to lead Florida to the NCAA Championship - joining Larry Bird as the only players in the last 50 years to score 30 or more in those rounds in a single tournament.
The Gators' sensational combo guard scored 20-plus points in the second half of those games to lead inspired comeback wins, and he'll need a big game tonight to help Florida overcome Houston's top-ranked defense in the country. If he can lead the charge to a championship, it's hard to imagine anyone else winning this award.
📊 Best odds: +100 via BetMGM ($10 to win $10)
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🐆 LJ Cryer
The only player in this matchup with a national championship ring, Cryer watched from the bench as his Baylor teammates dominated Gonzaga in the 2021 title game - something that has openly motivated the Houston senior in his return to this stage.
The Cougars' leading scorer could become the first player in college basketball history to win national championships at two schools, and his 26 points in the Final Four were critical to sparking one of the best NCAA Tournament comebacks of all time. Cryer clearly relishes his role as the top dog for a potential title team, making him a compelling bet for Houston.
📊 Best odds: +160 via FanDuel ($10 to win $16)
🎯 March Madness Most Outstanding Player value bets & long shots
🐆 J'Wan Roberts
While Cryer is the leading scorer and No. 1 option for the Cougars, Roberts is the unofficial face of Houston basketball after winning 149 games across six seasons on campus.
The winningest player in program history doubles as the best defender and rebounder on a team defined by defense and rebounding. It was all on display in that comeback win over Duke, when Roberts finished with 11 points and 12 rebounds, hit two free throws with 19 seconds left to take the lead, and then defended Cooper Flagg's missed go-ahead bucket.
Roberts has his fingerprints all over this potential title run, and I'm surprised to see him dealing at such long odds. If Cryer falters offensively but Houston's defense wills the Cougars to victory, their beloved senior captain will have one heck of a case as a long shot.
📊 Best odds: +2000 via BetMGM ($10 to win $200)
🐆 Emanuel Sharp
Sharp has already proven himself as a postseason hero this year, winning Most Outstanding Player in the Big 12 tournament after leading Houston to three wins while averaging 20.7 PPG with a combined 12 made triples.
The junior guard has quietly been his team's most efficient scorer this season on a per-possession basis, and he's the only player to score at least 16 points in each of the Cougars' last three games. With his odds as short as +950 via FanDuel, it's hard to turn down this ridiculous value at BetMGM with a winning $10 bet returning a $250 profit.
📊 Best odds: +2500 via BetMGM ($10 to win $250)
🐊 Alijah Martin
Clayton has drawn all the headlines for the top-seeded Gators, and deservedly so, but Martin has also been a critical piece offensively with double digits in all five tournament wins - including 17 points in the Final Four victory over Auburn.
Martin played a key role for Florida Atlantic in its Final Four run two years ago, and he dropped 26 points in a 1-point loss to San Diego State in the semifinal. This stage clearly isn't too big for the senior guard, so if Florida manages to win tonight despite a bad performance from Clayton, it'll likely be Martin saving the day for the Gators.
📊 Best odds: +2900 via FanDuel ($10 to win $290)
🔮 March Madness Most Outstanding Player prediction & expert pick
🏆 Walter Clayton Jr. (+100 via BetMGM)
I get it - nobody wants to bet the favorite in a market like this. But a ripped-up ticket isn't worth anything, and Clayton is the type of player who will render all other bets moot.
Florida's top scorer has singlehandedly carried the Gators to the NCAA Championship, and he's clearly the reason why Todd Golden's group is favored to win its first national championship in almost two decades. He's putting on a show unlike anything we've seen in nearly 50 years, and I don't see that ending tonight.
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📺 How to watch Florida vs. Houston tonight: 2025 NCAA Championship
📅 Date: Monday, April 7
🕗 Time: 8:50 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Alamodome (San Antonio)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
💡 March Madness Most Outstanding Player trends & betting tips
There's no perfect science to predicting which player will be named the Final Four Most Outstanding Player ... but there are some pretty clear trends to follow from recent winners:
🏆 Back the winning team. While the Most Outstanding Player can technically be anyone in the Final Four, it almost always goes to the winning team. Since 2000, every single player to win the award played for the champion, so you might want to make your Florida vs. Houston prediction before investing in the MOP odds.
📅 Consider the big picture. Even though the winning player almost always comes from the winning team, their performance across the entire Final Four - and, realistically, their whole body of work - factors into the voting process. This award is decided by humans, and humans love narratives, so know the storylines before betting.
😴 Don't sleep on role players. The Most Outstanding Player isn't always awarded to the best player on the winning team. Last year, UConn's Tristen Newton entered the title game with +700 odds but scored 20 points to win the award. The list of recent winners is littered with quality starters who become folk heros in the title game - don't count them out.
👑 Past March Madness Most Outstanding Player winners
Here's a list of every player to win Final Four Most Outstanding Player since 2000.
| Year | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tristen Newton | UConn |
| 2023 | Adama Sanogo | UConn |
| 2022 | Ochai Agbaji | Kansas |
| 2021 | Jared Butler | Baylor |
| 2019 | Kyle Guy | Virginia |
| 2018 | Donte DiVincenzo | Villanova |
| 2017 | Joel Berry II | North Carolina |
| 2016 | Ryan Arciadacono | Villanova |
| 2015 | Tyus Jones | Duke |
| 2014 | Shabazz Napier | UConn |
| 2013 | Luke Hancock | Louisville |
| 2012 | Anthony Davis | Kentucky |
| 2011 | Kemba Walker | UConn |
| 2010 | Kyle Singler | Duke |
| 2009 | Wayne Ellington | North Carolina |
| 2008 | Mario Chalmers | Kansas |
| 2007 | Corey Brewer | Florida |
| 2006 | Joakim Noah | Florida |
| 2005 | Sean May | North Carolina |
| 2004 | Emeka Okafor | UConn |
| 2003 | Carmelo Anthony | Syracuse |
| 2002 | Juan Dixon | Maryland |
| 2001 | Shane Battier | Duke |
| 2000 | Mateen Cleaves | Michigan State |
🔢 Live Florida vs. Houston odds & NCAA Championship betting lines
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the national championship.
🏀 Best NCAA Championship odds, predictions & expert picks tonight
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- Houston blowout parlay & SGP picks
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