Houston vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Today: Our Best Bets & Score Projections
Houston has run roughshod through the Big 12 this season, impressively going unbeaten in road environments leading up to one final away test at Baylor on Saturday night.
Our Houston vs. Baylor prediction, odds, and expert picks envision Houston’s impeccable road record as a key factor leading to the Cougars’ success on Saturday night.
Baylor hosts Houston (-4.5) at Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas, Saturday at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN).
💰 Houston vs. Baylor predictions, expert picks & best bets today
Here are my best Houston vs. Baylor predictions, expert picks, and best bets today, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Houston -4.5 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Baylor ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best player prop bet: L.J. Cryer Under 14.5 points (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Exact score prediction: Houston 66, Baylor 59 (+26000 via FanDuel)
🏀 Houston vs. Baylor ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick
Here's why I'm betting on Houston to cover the spread (-4.5) while targeting L.J. Cryer Under 14.5 points as my best player prop bet pick for today:
✅ Houston to cover the spread (-4.5) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
With just nine road games under its belt, Houston has played fewer away contests than just about any team in the country. But we’ve seen enough from the Cougars in these spots to be impressed.
At 9-0 outright as the away squad, Houston is the only undefeated road team in the country. The Cougars, who sit third in the March Madness odds, are also 7-2 against the spread on the road, clearing a 4.5-point road margin of victory seven times.
Baylor is 4-11-1 ATS at home, rendering the Bears fifth-worst among high major programs at covering spreads in their own gym this season.
📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $9.09)
Caesars is a 21+ product
🔥 L.J. Cryer Under 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
One of the Cougars’ most prolific scorers, L.J. Cryer is averaging 15.0 points per game this season. But the occasional down games for the senior guard tend to fall on the road.
Three of Cryer’s four single-digit scoring outputs in conference play this season have come in road environments. Saturday’s game features a relatively low total of 131 points, and the Cougars' contests trend Under on the season 55.2% of the time.
Though I like the Cougars to handle their business, I predict that comes in a lower-scoring environment that leaves Cryer susceptible to a quieter game. That's particularly true against a Baylor team with an improved 3-point defense in recent weeks.
📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $9.09)
Terms and conditions apply.
🎯 Expert Houston vs. Baylor score prediction
🔮 Expert score prediction: Houston 66, Baylor 59
Houston is a rigid machine with a measured pace. The Cougars have posted the 360th adjusted tempo in college basketball, making them one of the slowest operators in the nation.
Paired with the third-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency in the country, their contests fall in the 60s frequently. Considering Baylor also falls outside the top 300 in adjusted tempo, neither side will be motivated to speed up the proceedings.
📊 Best odds: +26000 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $2,600)
📊 Live Houston vs. Baylor odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Houston vs. Baylor, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
🔢 Houston vs. Baylor opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Houston vs. Baylor:
- Spread: Houston -4.5 (-110) | Baylor +4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Houston -210 | Baylor +170
- Over/Under: Over 130.5 (-115) | Under 130.5 (-105)
🏆 Who will win Houston vs. Baylor?
As of 10 a.m. ET, Houston is the 4.5-point favorite to beat Baylor while getting moneyline odds of -190 at BetMGM, which suggests a 65.52% win probability for the Cougars. We're predicting a 66-59 win for Houston as our final score projection.
So far, 64% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Houston -4.5, while 61% expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 130.5 points.
📺 How to watch Houston vs. Baylor tonight
📅 Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Foster Pavilion (Waco, Texas)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN App
❓ Houston vs. Baylor FAQs
Who is favored to win Houston vs. Baylor?
Houston is favored to win the game with -190 odds on the moneyline at BetMGM, which equates to an implied probability of victory of 65.52%.
What are the betting odds for Houston vs. Baylor?
The latest spread is Houston -4.5, with a total of 130.5 points (-110).
What will be the final score of Houston vs. Baylor?
We're predicting a final score of Houston 66, Baylor 59 entering tonight's matchup at Foster Pavilion.
What time is Houston vs. Baylor tonight?
Tipoff for Houston vs. Baylor is scheduled for tonight at 10 p.m. ET.
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
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- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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