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Florida vs. Houston Player Props Today: Best SGP Picks & Odds for NCAA Championship

Isaiah Sirois

Last Updated: April 7, 2025 12:38 PM EDT • 4 min 31 sec read.

Florida vs. Houston Player Props Today: Best SGP Picks & Odds for NCAA Championship
Pictured: Florida Gators guard Walter Clayton Jr. (1) and guard Alijah Martin (15) celebrate defeating the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Photo by Kyle Terada via Imagn Images.

Both the Florida Gators (35-4) and Houston Cougars (35-4) had to fight tooth and nail to reach tonight's NCAA Championship. Our Florida vs. Houston player props and parlay odds highlight key individuals who could impact the result, as a part of our March Madness predictions.

Tipoff is slated for 8:50 p.m. ET (CBS) from the Alamodome in San Antonio. Which players should you focus on with the Gators trading as 1.5-point betting favorites at our best sports betting sites?

🏀 Florida vs. Houston player prop picks for tonight

Here are my best Florida vs. Houston player prop picks for the NCAA Championship of the NCAA Tournament:

🎯 Walter Clayton Jr. player prop pick: Under 19.5 points (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Emanuel Sharp player prop pick: Over 14.5 points (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Alex Condon player prop pick: Under 14.5 points + rebounds (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks.

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🏆 Best Florida vs. Houston player props

Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

🔥 Walter Clayton Jr. Under 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The question in tonight’s Florida vs. Houston game is what happens when an unstoppable force (Walter Clayton Jr.’s scoring) meets an immovable object (Houston’s slow pace and elite defensive play). I favor Houston’s defense by a comfortable margin. The Cougars lead the NCAA in adjusted defensive efficiency since Feb. 1 (89.4) while ranking 357th in pace.

Clayton Jr. has been dominant in the tournament and just hung 34 points on Auburn, bringing his average to 24.6 points per March Madness game. However, his shooting splits of 50/49/91 have ballooned from his full-season averages of 44/39/88. Where some see clutch play, I see an opportunity for serious shooting regression.

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We successfully faded Clayton against an elite Maryland perimeter defense that had been using a slower pace in the tournament. Houston isn’t quite as highly ranked in opponent 3-point percentage, allowing the 45th-best rate since Feb. 1 (30.8%), but the incredibly slow pace will minimize Clayton’s ability to go over this line.

This pick directly fades the public, who has made Clayton Over 19.5 points its best bet at BetMGM. Read on for more betting insights for tonight's March Madness finale.

📊 Best odds: +100 via Caesars ($10 to win $10)

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🔥 Emanuel Sharp Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Houston senior L.J. Cryer stole the show against Duke with 26 points, but I want action on his teammate, Emanuel Sharp, in this spot. Sharp hasn’t been explosive this tournament, but he has been consistent, rattling off 16.3 points per game in the last three games with totals of 16, 16, and 17. 

Sharp’s shooting splits this season (42/42/87) are solid, but he hasn’t met that standard efficiency-wise in the tournament (38/35/79). While an increase in playing time and tougher competition are possible explanations, I suspect there’s been some bad luck at play, which we’ve started to see correct itself over the last three games.

In his five games with 30-plus minutes, Sharp has cleared the 14.5-point threshold in each while averaging 18.4. The Florida defense is efficient, but the team’s fast pace should create a few extra possessions for Sharp to exploit on the offensive end. This price is just too low for him tonight.

📊 Best odds: +100 via FanDuel ($10 to win $10)

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🔥 Alex Condon Under 14.5 points and rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Alex Condon, a 6-foot-11 sophomore, has a bright future and is projected by many to eventually wind up as an NBA draft selection. However, he hasn’t helped his case much this tournament. He fouled out against Auburn after tallying one point and four rebounds, bringing his tournament averages down to 6.2 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Condon is shooting just 33/25/50 since the tournament’s second weekend began.

With Condon coming down with only 11.6 points and rebounds per game since the tournament started, the books are projecting a massive bounce-back showing for him against Houston, which just doesn’t seem realistic against such a slow-paced and efficient team.

Sure, Condon is averaging 10.5 points and 7.6 rebounds (18.1 total) this season, but with Florida’s willingness to move away from him (see his 14 minutes against Maryland) and his foul struggles (2.8 per game since March 1), I just don’t see a bounce-back gaming coming for him.

📊 Best odds: -118 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.47)

💰Best Florida vs. Houston parlay picks

Here is our best Florida vs. Houston same-game parlay for tonight's NCAA Championship matchup; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:  

🔥 Walter Clayton Jr. player prop pick: Under 19.5 points
🔥 Emanuel Sharp player prop pick: Over 14.5 points
🔥 Alex Condon player prop pick: Under 14.5 points + rebounds

🚀 Best SGP odds: +557 via FanDuel ($10 to win $55.71)

🔢 Florida vs. Houston betting insights

Here are the most popular player prop bets (tickets) for tonight's Florida vs. Houston NCAA Championship clash at BetMGM:

  • Walter Clayton over 19.5 points (-140)
  • Walter Clayton over 3.5 assists (-135)
  • LJ Cryer over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-150)
  • LJ Cryer over 17.5 points (-110)
  • J'Wan Roberts over 6.5 rebounds (-115)

🏀 Best NCAA Championship odds, predictions & expert picks tonight

📺 How to watch Florida vs. Houston: NCAA Championship

📅 Date: Monday, April 7
🕗 Time: 8:50 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Alamodome (San Antonio)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live, Paramount+

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Written By:
Isaiah Sirois
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at Sportsbook Review specializing in basketball, motorsports, and football. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you can always find his columns stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA, Olympic, and FIBA markets for Sportsbook Review and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar most weekends. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree from Emory University and is currently attending Vanderbilt Law School.