Baylor vs. Houston Prediction, Odds & Preview Today: Best Picks for Feb. 10
Baylor (15-8) needs to take on the best team in the Big 12 while attempting to get back on track after a 4-4 stretch, with Houston hosting the Bears tonight at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Fertitta Center in Houston.
The March Madness odds-contending Cougars are a 9-point home favorite, and our Baylor vs. Houston prediction outlines why Kelvin Sampson's defense will be too much for the visiting Bears.
Baylor vs. Houston predictions today
College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites.
- Against the spread pick: Houston -9 (-115 via bet365) vs. Baylor ⭐⭐⭐
- My best pick: L.J. Cryer Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-135 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Baylor vs. Houston ATS prediction
Houston to cover the spread: -9 ⭐⭐⭐
Houston has been dominant in Big 12 play outside of a hiccup against Texas Tech last week when the Cougars fell in overtime. Sampson's squad is 11-1 against conference opponents and 5-1 against the spread as favorites of fewer than 12 points in those outings.
The Cougars' defense has been suffocating its foes. The unit is first in the country in points allowed per game (57.0) and has given up more than 68 points just twice against Big 12 teams. It also ranks third in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KenPom. Houston should be able to slow a Baylor offense that's been falling off in conference play.
The Bears are putting up 80 points per game this season, but they've seen that drop to 73.6 against Big 12 teams, ranking eighth in the conference. They also sit just ninth in field-goal percentage in the Big 12 (42.6%) and are taking on a Houston team that's second in the country in field-goal percentage allowed (37.5%).
The Bears are only 9-12-1 ATS on the season (5-7 in conference play) and their defense will struggle to contain a Houston team that's 10th in 3-point percentage (39.3%). If the Cougs can cover, a $10 bet translates to an $8.70 profit.
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Best Baylor vs. Houston pick
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L.J. Cryer Over 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While Houston leans heavily on its defense, the team also boasts one of the best shooters in the Big 12 in guard L.J. Cryer. Cryer is second in the conference in both threes per game (2.8) and 3-point percentage (40.3%), which is why this prop is as short as -150 at our other best sports betting sites.
Baylor's perimeter defense has been ugly at times this season, too. The Bears are 266th in threes allowed per game (8.1) and 328th in 3-point percentage allowed (36.1%). That should lead to the Cougars' offense taking a more 3-point-focused approach in this matchup.
Cryer has hit three-plus threes in 12 of 23 games this season, including three straight. If he can nail at least three from behind the arc against Baylor, a $10 bet leads to a $7.41 profit.
Best odds: -135 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 57.45%
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Live Baylor vs. Houston odds
See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.
Baylor vs. Houston opening odds
- Spread: Baylor +9 (-110) | Houston -9 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 132 (-110) | Under 132 (-110)
- Moneyline: Baylor +325 | Houston -425
Baylor vs. Houston game info
- When: Monday, Feb. 10
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Fertitta Center (Houston)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Houston -9 (-115 via bet365)
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