Auburn vs. Florida Prediction Tonight: Final Four Odds, NCAA Tournament Picks & Preview
It's al all-SEC affair in the first Final Four game tonight as the Auburn Tigers (32-5) face the Florida Gators (34-4) in the NCAA Tournament semifinal at 6:09 p.m. ET (CBS) from the Alamodome in San Antonio.
The Gators are favored by 2.5 points heading into tonight's March Madness showdown, and we're backing the favorites in our Auburn vs. Florida prediction, odds, and preview as part of our March Madness predictions.
📈 Latest Auburn vs. Florida odds movement & betting splits
Florida opened as a 2.5-point favorite earlier this week, and it's remained at that number all the way until the final hours before tonight's tipoff. Bettors keep laying the points, too, with 64% of wagers at BetMGM on the favored Gators to beat the underdog Tigers.
We've also seen some action on the Over, which has drawn 57% of wagers in the hours before tonight's matchup, though the total has moved down from an opening number of 161.5 across our best sports betting sites. That suggests sharp action on the Under could be keeping the total deflated in this potential SEC shoot-out.
🏀 Auburn vs. Florida prediction & picks tonight: Final Four
Here are my Auburn vs. Florida predictions for the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Florida -2.5 (-108 via FanDuel) vs. Auburn ⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Johni Broome Under 19.5 points (-114 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Florida 83, Auburn 77 (+19000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks with the rest of our March Madness Final Four predictions.
🏆 Best Auburn vs. Florida pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ Florida to cover the spread: -2.5 ⭐⭐
Auburn went 20-1 in one stretch of the season from early December to the beginning of March, with its only loss in that span being a 90-81 home loss to Florida.
While many undersold the Tigers after losing three times in four games entering the NCAA Tournament, Florida beat Auburn at its peak - and did so without Alijah Martin in the lineup. Florida’s performance in “The Jungle” on Feb. 8 was especially impressive considering it built a 21-point second-half lead and held an offense that was on pace to break the efficiency record in the KenPom era to 1.09 points per possession.
With Auburn’s Wooden Award odds candidate Johni Broome likely not at 100% for this matchup after leaving the Elite Eight win with a shoulder injury, there are too many signs pointing to another Gators win.
📊 Best odds: -108 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.26)
🔥 Johni Broome Under 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Florida has the size to throw different bodies at Broome, and its frontcourt was instrumental in holding Auburn to 47.9% shooting from 2-point range in the first meeting.
Broome scored 18 points in that matchup on an inefficient 8-for-19 shooting. Most impressively, the Gators defended Broome without fouling, as he attempted just two free throws (he has attempted two or fewer free throws in just three of 14 games since).
It is fair to wonder how much pain Broome will be in or how much mobility he has in his shoulder in this matchup. And Gators head coach Todd Golden’s knowledge of Bruce Pearl’s system as his former assistant gives him an edge in preparing for Broome.
I expect Auburn to have to play more through its guards than it would like, with Broome going under this projected total for the third time in five games.
BetMGM has held at its original number with Broome’s O/U set at 18.5, so Under backers are getting the best value making this play after using Caesars promo code: SBRBONUSDYW.
📊 Best odds: -114 via Caesars ($10 to win $8.77)
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🎯 Score prediction: Florida 83, Auburn 77
Florida is 16-1 in its last 17 games and won four games against teams that were either No. 1 or No. 2 seeds in the NCAA Tournament by a combined 45 points in that span. Favorites were also a perfect 12-0 SU in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight and are 50-13 overall so far in the NCAA Tournament.
With this game being played in a cavernous football stadium, I expect it to be slightly lower-scoring. That’s why I’m predicting a final score of Florida 83, Auburn 77.
📊 Best odds: +19000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1900)
🤖 Auburn vs. Florida AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Auburn vs. Florida. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Auburn 74, Florida 68.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Auburn 74, Florida 68
- Auburn’s Fast-Paced Transition Game: The Tigers thrive on pushing the pace and scoring in transition, which could be a challenge for Florida’s defense.
- Florida’s Defensive Edge: If the Gators can slow the game down and disrupt Auburn's offensive flow, they can keep it close.
- Turnover Battle: Both teams can generate turnovers. If Florida struggles to protect the ball, Auburn’s defense will capitalize and likely dictate the game.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Auburn covering the spread (+2.5) and a total of Under 159.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Auburn vs. Florida odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the Final Four.
🔢 Auburn vs. Florida opening odds
- Spread: Auburn +2.5 (-105) | Florida -2.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Auburn +120 | Florida -145
- Over/Under: Over 161.5 (-105) | Under 161.5 (-115)
📺 How to watch Auburn vs. Florida: NCAA Tournament Final Four
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5
🕗 Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Alamodome (San Antonio)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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