Thunder vs. Timberwolves Predictions, Player Props, Odds & Picks for Tonight
A Western Conference clash unfolds tonight as Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves take on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT, truTV, and Max) at Target Center in Minneapolis.
Oklahoma City, currently the favorite by the NBA championship odds, enters as a 7.5-point road favorite. With the Thunder’s elite defense playing a crucial role, our top Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions and player prop picks highlight key matchups and betting angles as these two powerhouse teams battle it out.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions for tonight
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.
- Game pick: Thunder to win (-290 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop pick: Over 1.5 steals (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Anthony Edwards player prop pick: Under 4.5 made 3-pointers (-156 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Chet Holmgren player prop pick: Over 2.5 blocks (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Thunder vs. Timberwolves player prop picks today
See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Best Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop predictions
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander prop pick: Over 1.5 steals ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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It's shocking to get these -110 odds via BetMGM for Gilgeous-Alexander to go Over 1.5 steals. He's second in the league in steals per game (1.9), and if he hits what's basically his nightly average, a $10 bet pays a $9.09 profit.
The NBA MVP odds favorite, Gilgeous-Alexander is as good as it gets at creating turnovers and he's coming off back-to-back two-plus steal games. He's already hit two or more steals in 32 of 52 games this year (61.5%), and that includes picking up four the last time he played Minnesota on Dec. 31.
The Timberwolves are prone to steals, too, allowing the ninth-most per game in the NBA (9.1), with point guards accounting for 1.97 of those. I expect Gilgeous-Alexander once again to make a difference on the defensive end against Minnesota.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander best prop bet odds
Anthony Edwards prop pick: Under 4.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -156 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 60.94%
Yes, Edwards has gone for 41-plus points in three of his last four games, but now he's matching up with the league's best defense. The Thunder rank first in points allowed per game (104.7), defensive rating (105.0), and 3-point percentage allowed (33.1%).
That's why these odds are so short for him to finish with fewer than five made 3-pointers - they pay a $6.41 profit on a $10 winning bet. An alternative option would be to back the Under on Edwards' point total, as our Andrew Brennan highlighted in his best NBA player props today.
Regardless of what you back, this is a good matchup to fade Edwards in with NBA Defensive Player odds contender Lu Dort matched up on him. Thanks to Dort, the Thunder allow the third-fewest threes per game to shooting guards (3.1).
Anthony Edwards best prop bet odds
Chet Holmgren prop pick: Over 2.5 blocks ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +150 via bet365 | Implied probability: 40%
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Back on the court after missing about three months with a hip injury, Holmgren has been slow to make a major impact on the offensive end - he's averaged eight points in his two games back. But the 7-foot-1 big has made up for it with his defensive prowess.
Holmgren proved to be one of the NBA's top rim protectors as a rookie last season and he's continued to be a shot-blocking machine this season when he's on the court. In his two games back from injury, he's swatted nine shots already, bringing his average up to 2.9 per game, which would be the second-most in the NBA if he had played enough games to qualify.
The former Gonzaga star should have the opportunity to continue his block party against a Minnesota team that ranks outside the top 10 in blocks allowed per game (4.7). Holmgren has cleared 2.5 blocks in six of 12 games this season, and if he does again, a $10 bet pays a $15 profit.
Chet Holmgren best prop bet odds
Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds
Thunder vs. Timberwolves injuries
Thunder vs. Timberwolves game info
- When: Thursday, Feb. 13
- Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- How to watch: TNT, truTV, Max
- Favorite: Thunder -7.5 (-110 via Caesars)
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