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Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic during the first quarter against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena as we look at our Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA player prop bets.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic during the first quarter against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena. Photo by Ron Chenoy/Imagn Images

The Dallas Mavericks lost a heartbreaker to the Utah Jazz on Thursday night, and the San Antonio Spurs came up just short against the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday.

One of these teams will get back in the win column Saturday as the Spurs head to Dallas in this classic “Battle of Texas.”

Our Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA player prop bets target two generations of talent in San Antonio. We're eyeing a combo prop for a veteran floor general who’s excelled for his new team, and a combo prop for the emerging rookie who’s made a splash since joining the first unit.

We’re also looking at Luka Doncic to take over and get his team a much-needed victory when the Spurs and Mavericks tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas.

The Mavs enter sitting fourth in the NBA championship odds.

Spurs vs. Mavericks player props for Saturday

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Spurs vs. Mavericks prop predictions

Chris Paul double-double ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +375 via Caesars | Implied probability: 21.05%

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Paul’s first week as a Spur began slowly, as he averaged just nine points and 7.3 assists across four games. He’s turned it on since then, and we can comfortably target this combo prop tonight.

CP3 has been averaging 11 points and 9.4 assists over his last nine games, compiling five double-doubles in that span. He’s racked up double-digit assists six times and narrowly missed a sixth double-double by a single point.

Paul has found a rhythm in San Antonio, facilitating to young scorers like Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and Devin Vassell, among others. Despite his recent success, his odds to record a double-double are remarkably long, and we can take advantage of this mispriced line from one of our best NBA betting sites.

Luka Doncic triple-double ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +410 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 19.61%

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Doncic has failed to record a triple-double this season, but we’re betting that will change on Saturday as the Mavs visit the Spurs. Doncic has been enjoying a tremendous level of success statistically against San Antonio throughout his career.

The superstar who's second in the NBA MVP odds has logged 77 career triple-doubles in 412 games, and seven have come against the Spurs in 21 meetings. Doncic has recorded a triple-double in 18.6% of his career games overall, but he's done it in a staggering 33.3% of contests against San Antonio.

The guard is averaging 29.3 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists this season, and he’s come within four rebounds/assists of a triple-double in eight of 12 appearances.

Dallas has lost four straight and five of six, including on a last-second bucket during a blown defensive assignment from Doncic on Thursday against Utah. He should be extra motivation in this one.

Stephon Castle Over 18.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

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The rookie came off the bench for the first seven games of his career, finding modest success across 19.9 minutes. He’s been excellent since becoming a starter, making the most of his 29.3 minutes per game.

Castle has averaged 14 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 4.2 assists in those six starts, good for 20.5 PRAs. He’s hit the Over on this line in four of his last five games, including a 22/2/5 line on Friday against the Lakers.

Devin Vassell made his season debut last week, and he's paired with Castle to share the court for four games this season. Both are averaging 16.3 points per game and are tied as the Spurs’ second-leading scorers. 

Castle is also averaging a steal and 1.7 triples while shooting 46.9% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc. The Spurs will likely bring Vassell along slowly as he ramps back up, but Castle is doing plenty of good things in his own right to warrant a starting role on this team. He should be heavily involved tonight against Dallas, making this an easy Over pick.

Spurs vs. Mavericks live odds & info

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 16
  • Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
  • How to watch: NBA TV
  • Favorite: Dallas -10.5 (-108 via DraftKings)

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