Spurs vs. Celtics Predictions, Player Props, Odds & Picks for Tonight
Two stars who would be considered heavyweight contenders by the NBA MVP odds during any other year will clash tonight, with Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs heading to Boston and squaring off with Jayson Tatum and the Celtics.
Tonight's hotly anticipated tilt begins at 7 p.m. ET from TD Garden, and we're featuring our best Spurs vs. Celtics predictions and player prop picks for this nationally televised contest on ESPN.
Surprisingly though (or perhaps not so much if you follow my picks), I'm backing two Unders in this star-studded affair. But we won't dare fade Wemby.
Spurs vs. Celtics predictions
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.
- Game pick: Celtics to win (-315 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Victor Wembanyama player prop pick: Over 11.5 rebounds (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jayson Tatum player prop pick: Under 6.5 assists (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- De'Aaron Fox player prop pick: Under 23.5 points (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Spurs vs. Celtics player prop picks today
See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Best Spurs vs. Celtics prop predictions
Victor Wembanyama prop pick: Over 11.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -102 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.50%
Of course, we need to start with a Wembanyama prop pick. And of course, it's an Over for one of the NBA's brightest stars. There are a lot of reasons to like this bet, too.
- Despite the big man averaging just 11 rebounds per game this season, multiple projection models put him above 12 for today's game
- There's also a ton of value across the board on Under point totals for this matchup, suggesting some slower play, tighter defense, and more rebounding opportunities
- Wemby is coming off a 15-rebound game and has cleared this number in two of his last four outings
Victor Wembanyama best prop bet odds
Jayson Tatum prop pick: Under 6.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -135 via bet365 | Implied probability: 57.45%
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The Celtics are expected to win this affair, and they continue to serve as the favorite by the NBA championship odds. However, don't expect the victory to come as a result of Tatum distributing the ball regularly.
- This profiles as the best bet of the three here, as Tatum is projected for only 5.5 assists on Wednesday
- Based on that forecast, the break-even point (or the "fair" price) for this Under is -219
- That's why we're getting roughly 18% positive expected value
- Don't be surprised if this total dips to 5.5 ahead of tipoff
Jayson Tatum best prop bet odds
De'Aaron Fox prop pick: Under 23.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.49%
There's value on several point total Unders in this contest, and this one for Fox profiles as one of the most valuable.
- Fox is projected for only 21.5 points despite going Over that number in three of his four games with the Spurs
- I would buy this Under up to around -140
- This total has already moved to 22.5 at a number of our best sports betting sites, and that's where playing the Under becomes tighter
- In that case, I wouldn't play Under 22.5 at anything shorter than the -110 available at DraftKings
De'Aaron Fox best prop bet odds
Spurs vs. Celtics odds
Spurs vs. Celtics line movement
The Celtics began the day as an 8-point favorite at our best sportsbooks. The spread has been moving a little more toward them throughout the day, and it now widely sits at -8.5 or -9.
Meanwhile, the total has risen a few points, going from 232 to about 234.
Spurs vs. Celtics injuries
When is Spurs vs. Celtics today?
- When: Wednesday, Feb. 12
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Garden (Boston)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Celtics -8.5 (-105 via Caesars)
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