Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA Player Prop Bets & Odds Tonight

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: November 12, 2024 11:41 AM EST • 2 min 60 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

Dallas Mavericks guard Klay Thompson shoots a technical foul as we make our best Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA player prop bets. — Dallas Mavericks guard Klay Thompson shoots a technical foul against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena. Photo by: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images.

The NBA Cup returns, and the highlight of Tuesday’s opening slate is Klay Thompson’s return to Chase Center for a showdown between the Dallas Mavericks (5-5) and Golden State Warriors (8-2) at 10 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Warriors let Thompson walk this past offseason after he had been with the team since 2011-12. After their trip to the NBA Finals, he joined the Mavs, hoping to be the final piece to push them over the top.

Golden State is a 2.5-point favorite via our best sports betting apps, but will Thompson get his revenge? Our Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA player prop bets help answer that question.

Mavericks vs. Warriors player props for Tuesday

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.

Klay Thompson Over 1.5 assists (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stephen Curry Over 3.5 rebounds (-160 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kyrie Irving Under 25.5 points (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Mavericks vs. Warriors prop predictions

Klay Thompson prop bet: Over 1.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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While most bettors will look to Thompson’s points prop in his revenge game, I think the best value is his assists prop. With the Warriors trying to run him off the 3-point line, Thompson should dish multiple assists against his former team.

Thompson has recorded multiple assists in four of his previous five games, averaging 2.8 dimes per contest over that span. The Warriors, meanwhile, are allowing the seventh-fewest 3-pointers per contest.

Behind a projection of 2.07 assists, a fair price on this Over is -151. BetMGM is offering a bargain with this player prop.

Stephen Curry prop bet: Over 3.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -160 via Caesars | Implied probability: 61.54%

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Curry’s rebounds and assists combo prop has been steamed up to 10.5 from 9.5 overnight, a reasonable angle for a high-stakes matchup. But I prefer taking advantage of the fact that Caesars hasn’t budged on his rebounds props, whereas the rest of our best prop betting sites have moved this line up to 4.5.

Curry grabbed five rebounds against the Oklahoma City Thunder in his previous game and collected seven rebounds against the Boston Celtics. He now faces a Dallas team that ranks 27th in rebounding.

I project 4.6 rebounds, so there is value in the plus-money price on Over 4.5 rebounds. But there is a more potent edge as long as Caesars trades this prop at -160 instead of a fair value of -180.

Kyrie Irving prop bet: Under 25.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.22%

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Fresh off a 43-point performance from Kyrie Irving, Tuesday's game should be a good time to fade his inflated scoring prop.

For one, the Warriors rank fourth in defensive rating this year. There is also typically more defense in these in-season tournament matchups, especially when every team is in it on opening night.

Thanks to a projection of 23.9 points, DraftKings’ -105 discount provides a solid edge on Irving’s points prop of 25.5. This is playable at -120 or better.

Mavericks vs. Warriors live odds & info

When: Tuesday, Nov. 12
Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
Where: Chase Center (San Francisco)
How to watch: TNT
Favorite: Warriors -2.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.