Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA Player Prop Bets & Odds Tonight
The Denver Nuggets defeated the Dallas Mavericks 122-120 when the teams met for the first time this season at full strength.
Luka Doncic and Aaron Gordon will be out for this one, and NBA MVP odds favorite Nikola Jokic is questionable, so other starters and role players will have to step up.
Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props look at a trio of Mavericks who will do their best to fill Doncic’s massive shoes and keep Dallas as one of the NBA Championship odds favorites.
We’re also looking to Kyrie Irving to lead the Mavs sans Luka and cash his combo prop when the Mavericks and Nuggets tip off at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Ball Arena in Denver.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props for Friday
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.
- Kyrie Irving Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- PJ Washington Over 7.5 rebounds (+130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jaden Hardy Over 14.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Best Mavericks vs. Nuggets prop predictions
Kyrie Irving prop bet: Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -106 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.46%
With Luka out tonight, it will be Kyrie's show in Denver, and we’re expecting Irving to pile up stats a mile high. On the season, Irving has averaged 33.9 PRAs and hit the Over in four of 14 matchups.
He should see quite an increase in usage and a jump in statistical production. Last season, Irving averaged 34.6 PRAs with Doncic available and a whopping 44.1 with Doncic on the sidelines.
The Nuggets allow the ninth-most points to opponents this season, so the matchup isn’t scary from a scoring perspective. To sweeten this prop, Irving has been far better as a scorer on the road, and he’s averaged 32 PRAs in Dallas compared to 37.2 in all other games.
PJ Washington prop bet: Over 7.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +130 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 43.48%
Washington leads Dallas in rebounds per game this season with a career-best 8.1. His rebounds line is set at 6.5 with odds of -120 or shorter, making that an unprofitable wager. We’ll turn our attention to an alternate line for plus-money odds.
Washington pulled down a career-high 17 rebounds against the Thunder last Sunday, and he’s corralled at least eight boards in five of 10 games this season. Based on his success rate in reaching this rebound threshold, we’re getting these odds at a major discount.
The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most rebounds per game to opponents this season overall, but Denver has surrendered the third-most boards in the last three games that Nikola Jokic has missed. Jokic is questionable tonight, and Aaron Gordon remains out, so Washington has a great chance to hit the Over tonight.
Jaden Hardy prop bet: Over 14.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
With Doncic out of action, Hardy should step into a larger role tonight, and more playing time should mean an easy Over on this combo prop. Hardy is averaging just 8.4 PRAs across 14.4 minutes per game this season, but his role and production have increased lately.
Hardy has averaged 16.4 PRAs across 20.3 minutes over his last three games, hitting the Over on this line each time. The depleted Nuggets defense presents a favorable matchup for Hardy, particularly with such a low line.
Hardy logged 11.5 minutes per game with Luka Doncic available last season, and Hardy averaged 9 PRAs. In games without Luka, Hardy’s playing time more than doubled to 24.1 minutes, and he averaged 18.6 PRAs. He hit the Over in eight of 12 games without Doncic last season, and we can count on him to do it again tonight.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets live odds & info
- When: Friday, Nov. 22
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Ball Arena (Denver)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Nuggets -3 (-105 via DraftKings)
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