Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Expert Picks & NBA Odds Tonight: Best Bets for NBA Play-In Tournament

The importance of these NBA Play-In Tournament games cannot be overstated, as the No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors (48-34) and No. 8 seed Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) have a chance to punch their postseason ticket with a win tonight.
The game from Chase Center in San Francisco starts at 10 p.m. ET (TNT), with the Houston Rockets awaiting the winner in the first round of the playoffs. Our Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction and NBA picks expect the Warriors to live up to the hype and cover as 7-point betting favorites.
🔢 Grizzlies vs. Warriors updated betting action
Updated betting info via BetMGM.
- The Grizzlies are +240 moneyline underdogs. There has been no movement on that line
- The total opened at 231.5 but has since decreased to 228.5. The total is set at 228.5 or 229 across our best sports betting sites
- All four regular-season tilts between these teams exceed the set total
- The Warriors are 6.5-point betting favorites, and 56% of the bets (77% of the money) are on them to cover
📺 Game info & where to watch Grizzlies vs. Warriors live today
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 TV: TNT
💻 Streaming: Hulu + Live TV, Max, DirecTV Stream, Sling TV
💡 Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction & expert picks: NBA Play-In Tournament - April 15
🎯 Score prediction: Warriors 123, Grizzlies 113
✅ Best bet: Warriors -7 (-110 via bet365)

📰 Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA preview & matchup analysis
The Warriors won three of the four regular-season meetings between these two teams, including both of their home contests. Two of those three were eight-plus-point triumphs. Though the Grizzlies only won once, their victory was impressive, as they defeated the Warriors 144-93 just before Christmas.
All four games between these two teams were high-scoring, as every contest reached at least 234 points. Though defenses tend to clamp down during the postseason, it would be surprising to see two of the league's best scoring teams struggle on Tuesday. The Grizzlies are averaging 121.9 points per game, and while the Warriors are averaging just 113.8, they’ll benefit from facing a defense allowing 116.9.
Ultimately, the Warriors shouldn't struggle to handle the Grizzlies, just like they did during the regular season. Stephen Curry put up 52 points during the last meeting, and he should produce another significant game against a struggling defense.
Ja Morant will attempt to keep his Grizzlies in the contest, and elevated playing time for Zach Edey will make a huge difference down low. However, the Warriors are a more complete team, and at home they’re holding opponents to just 110.3 points per game.
I predict the Warriors will tally over 120 points for the fourth time against the Grizzlies this season, and they'll cover this spread in a high-scoring game.
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💰 Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks & best bets
✅ Against the spread pick: Warriors -7 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Warriors (-290 via bet365)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 228.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
⛹️ Best Grizzlies vs. Warriors player props & same-game parlay
🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
🔥 Stephen Curry Over 5.5 made 3-pointers⭐⭐⭐⭐
Curry put together one of his best performances of the season the last time he faced the Grizzlies. He knocked down 12 of his 20 3-point attempts en route to a 52-point performance. After a game like that, it may surprise some that his number is set at just 5.5 with a favorable price.
However, Curry didn’t shoot well against the Grizzlies in either of his other games against them this season. He scored just two points when facing Memphis in mid-December, and Curry went just 3-of-7 from long range during the first meeting
Curry averaged 4.4 threes per game this season, so this is a bit of risky play, but that's factored into the price. The Grizzlies don’t defend well, and they’re allowing opponents to make 36% of their threes this season. I’ll back him to succeed again after what Curry did against them on April 1.
🔢 Stephen Curry player prop bet odds
🔥 Ja Morant Under 6.5 assists⭐⭐⭐
Morant averaged 7.3 assists per game during the regular season, but he didn’t enjoy a good April. He averaged just 5.8 assists per outing in five games during the month, and he’s recorded six or fewer assists in five of his last six games.
Additionally, Morant hasn’t been very successful at finding his teammates against the Warriors. He’s dished out a combined nine assists over two games against them, with his best performance coming on April 1 while assisting on six made baskets in 33 minutes.
Morant scored 36 against the Warriors earlier this month, and he’ll be more of a scorer than a passer again on Tuesday. The price for this Under is expensive at all or our best sports betting sites except bet365, where it's at -115 compared to the -130 or worse available elsewhere.
🔢 Ja Morant player prop bet odds
🔥 Zach Edey Over 10.5 rebounds⭐⭐⭐⭐
Edey is set to make his first postseason appearance, and he’s entering Tuesday’s game on a tear. While he averaged 8.3 rebounds per game during the regular season, Edey brought that up to 15.7 over six April games. He’s pulled down at least 13 boards in five of his last six, and Edey grabbed 16 against the Warriors in their last meeting.
Normally, I’d shy away from taking a rookie to record two more than his average during a playoff debut. But the reason for Edey’s success is easily understood: He’s playing more minutes. Edey averaged 30.5 minutes per game in April. Before that stretch, he hadn’t played more than 30 minutes in a game all season.
The Grizzlies have geared up Edey for a playoff run, and he’s going to get plenty of playing time on Tuesday. That will lead to him easily topping this number, even against a solid rebounding team like the Warriors.
🔢 Zach Edey player prop bet odds
🚀 Best Grizzlies vs. Warriors player prop parlay picks & SGP odds
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🔢 Best Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds & betting lines
🛒 Shop around for the best Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds from our best sports betting apps.
📡 Hawks vs. Magic live odds
🪧 Grizzlies vs. Warriors opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Grizzlies +6.5 (-110) | Warriors -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +230 | Warriors -290
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 (-110)
📊 Grizzlies vs. Warriors stats: Records, trends & best odds for today
🚑 Grizzlies vs. Warriors injury report
📋 For the latest injury news, check today's official NBA injury report.
🗳️ Who will win Grizzlies vs. Warriors?
🔮 Tonight's NBA Play-In Tournament expert picks
- NBA Play-In Tournament odds and predictions
- Hawks vs. Magic prediction
- Hawks vs. Magic player props
- Hawks vs. Magic parlay picks
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors player props
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors parlay picks
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