Oscars Best Actress Predictions 2024: Lily Gladstone Overtakes Emma Stone as Favorite

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: March 8, 2024 11:05 AM EST • 1 min 44 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

May 6, 2024; New York, NY, USA; Lily Gladstone leaves The Mark Hotel for the Met Gala, the annual fundraising gala held for the benefit of the Metropolitan Museum of Art in New York. This year's theme for the gala was 'The Garden of Time.'. Mandatory Credit: Jasper Colt-USA TODAY

Our best sports betting sites have Lily Gladstone storming away as the favorite over Emma Stone by the best Oscars Odds following the latter's victory at the Screen Actors Guild Awards.

Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress have all been essentially decided, according to our Oscars odds. However, Best Actress is turning out to be one of the best races we've seen in years.

Emma Stone was somewhat pulling away in this category, with odds nearing -250. However, with Lily Gladstone's victory at the SAGs, she's now trading at a similar price, with Stone falling behind with odds nearing 2/1.

Who will win when the Academy has its say?

Here are our top odds for the 2024 Best Actress winner from our best sports betting apps.

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Best Lead Actress odds 2024

(Odds as of March 7)

Actress (Film)	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)	-250	-210 🔥	-250	-250	-225
Emma Stone (Poor Things)	+165	+140 ❄️	+155	+190 🔥	+162
Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall)	+2500	+3400	+2500	+4000 🔥	+1200 ❄️
Carey Mulligan (Maestro)	+6500	+3700 ❄️	+6600	+5000	+6600
Annette Bening (Nyad)	+5000	+4500 ❄️	+6600	+5000	+6600

Best Actress predictions 2024

Lily Gladstone (-210 via FanDuel)

Gladstone's win at the SAGs sure shook up this race. She was trading at +175 before that show, and her win has since catapulted her to favorite status at our best sportsbooks.

Generally, the SAGs are the biggest indication of who will win at the Oscars, so this price could be representative of her chances at the Oscars, as it represents nearly a 68% implied probability of victory.

Emma Stone (+190 via Caesars)

Just as Stone was looking like the clear-cut favorite, she lost at the SAGs. Now this has become a race for the ages.

Stone still won plenty of awards leading up to the SAGs, so she still has a very good shot at winning at the Oscars. I'm strongly considering betting on Stone at +190, but it does feel as though Gladstone will be the winner on Sunday.

Oscars betting odds pages

Oscars odds and predictions	Best Supporting Actor predictions	Best Original Score
Best Picture predictions	Best Supporting Actress predictions	Best Original Song
Best Director predictions	Best Original Screenplay
Best Lead Actor predictions	Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Lead Actress predictions	Best Animated Feature

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.