2025 NASCAR AI Picks & Predictions at Martinsville: ChatGPT's Full Projected Order for Cook Out 400

The second short track race of the NASCAR Cup Series season begins today at 3 p.m. ET (FS1) at Martinsville Speedway, and we turned to AI to help us predict the winner and full finishing order for the Cook Out 400.
We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Martinsville predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, and favorite long shot, as well as the results for every driver for today's 38-car field.
Along with our 2025 Cook Out 400 predictions at Martinsville, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:
🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
We've previously used ChatGPT to predict its March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and even its Canada vs. USA predictions, and we're once again turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot to predict the winner of today's Cook Out 400 at Martinsville.
We trained ChatGPT's latest and most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting this weekend's winner:

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
ChatGPT predicts Denny Hamlin will win the Cook Out 400 at Martinsville. His best odds are +700 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $70 profit with an implied win probability of 12.50%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Hamlin will win today's race:
✅ Veteran short-track expertise: Hamlin’s long history on short tracks gives him the savvy to navigate Martinsville’s tight, contact‐prone racing and avoid the pitfalls that can derail less experienced drivers.
✅ Joe Gibbs Racing’s proven package: His team consistently delivers excellent setups and pit strategies at Martinsville, enabling him to maintain position through cautions and capitalize on late-race restarts.
✅ Endurance & consistency: In a 400‑lap race where tire management and fuel strategy are paramount, Hamlin’s proven ability to run a controlled, consistent race positions him well to emerge victorious.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (20% win probability)
💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
ChatGPT predicts Chase Elliott will finish in the top five as its best NASCAR prop bet for Martinsville. Elliott's best odds to score a top-5 finish are +125 via bet365, which would turn a winning $10 bet into an $12.50 profit with an implied win probability of 44.44%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Elliott to finish in the top five today:
✅ Excellent starting position: Qualifying second gives Elliott a prime spot on the front row, allowing him to avoid the early traffic and potential short-track incidents at Martinsville.
✅ Proven short-track acumen: Elliott’s smooth, consistent driving style and experience at tight, contact-prone tracks like Martinsville mean he’s well-equipped to navigate the close-quarters racing and variable conditions of this event.
✅ Strong team package: Hendrick Motorsports has a history of dialing in setups for Martinsville, and their strategic pit work often helps Elliott gain positions during cautions and late-race restarts.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (50% chance of top-5 finish)
🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
ChatGPT predicts Casey Mears will win the Cook Out 400 as its best long shot at Martinsville. His best odds to win are +250000 via FanDuel, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $25,000 profit with an implied win probability of 0.04%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Mears as its best long shot today:
✅ Short-track experience: Casey Mears has prior Cup experience and has shown he can be competitive on short tracks. His familiarity with the challenges of Martinsville - where close-quarters racing and contact are common - gives him a baseline to capitalize on any chaos.
✅ Deep underdog position: Starting near the back at 37th means he’s a massive long shot by the book. If the leaders get caught in incidents or strategic missteps (which are common at Martinsville), Mears could climb the order unexpectedly.
✅ Opportunity in chaos: Martinsville is notorious for its unpredictable nature - frequent cautions, aggressive driving, and pit-call errors. In such a volatile environment, a seasoned driver like Mears could exploit the chaos to work his way to a surprise victory.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐ (1% win probability)
🤖 Cook Out 400 AI projections for full finishing order
Here is our predicted Cook Out 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.
🏁 ChatGPT's full NASCAR finishing order predictions at Martinsville
- Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) 🥇 – The veteran short-track specialist capitalizes on his experience to dodge early chaos and control the closing laps.
- Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) 🥈 – Starting near the front and backed by a top-tier Hendrick package, Elliott makes a late push to finish among the leaders.
- Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske Ford) 🥉 – With aggressive moves and strong race management, Logano surges up to challenge for the win.
- Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) – Bell’s blend of speed and savvy on short tracks keeps him in contention for a top finish.
- Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) – Bowman’s smooth driving and a well-set-up car allow him to remain in the top five despite a tight pack.
- Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske Ford) – Consistency and smart pit strategy help Cindric climb into a strong finish.
- Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) – Larson’s raw talent shines through, keeping him in the upper group as race incidents reshuffle the field.
- Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing Toyota) – Known for his aggressive style, Wallace takes advantage of short-track contact to grab a top-10 spot.
- Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing Toyota) – Reddick’s speed and determination help him navigate the mayhem for a solid top-10 finish.
- William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) – Byron’s car holds up well, allowing him to remain competitive in the top 10 despite heavy traffic.
- Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet) – Busch’s experience lets him weather the chaos and finish near the front.
- Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing Ford) – Despite some on-track incidents, Keselowski’s strategic moves keep him in the upper half.
- Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) – Briscoe battles through early contact and finishes solidly in the mid-pack.
- Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) – As a rising talent, Gibbs shows glimpses of speed, finishing with a respectable position.
- Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing Ford) – Berry’s knack for close-quarters racing helps him punch his way into the upper mid-field.
- Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) – McDowell’s early speed is tempered by short-track attrition, landing him in the mid-pack.
- John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club Toyota) – Nemechek capitalizes on a few strategic calls to move up from his starting spot.
- Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) – The bold mover battles through the chaos, though contact and cautions slow his climb.
- Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet) – Dillon’s car struggles to keep pace amid the short-track melee, dropping him into the lower mid-field.
- Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports Ford) – Smith’s package isn’t ideally suited to Martinsville’s demands, resulting in a lower-top-20 finish.
- Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing Ford) – Preece benefits from clean pit stops but eventually falls back in a chaotic field.
- Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing Ford) – Buescher’s solid package allows him to slide into a mid-field slot as the race unfolds.
- Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team Ford) – Custer is hampered by handling issues on the tight oval, finishing in the mid-to-lower part of the pack.
- A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet) – The aggressive Allmendinger battles contact and cautions, landing him in the lower mid-field.
- Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports Ford) – Gragson’s potential is curtailed by the frequent cautions at Martinsville, dropping him further back.
- Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports Ford) – Gilliland gets caught up in the short-track chaos and slips into the lower mid-field.
- Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) – Suarez’s aggressive moves don’t pay off this time, as he is sidelined by incidents and strategic missteps.
- Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) – Haley shows some speed but is ultimately unable to overcome the attrition, finishing in the lower mid-pack.
- Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club Toyota) – Jones is hampered by on-track incidents and ends up toward the back of the main group.
- Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske Ford) – Blaney struggles to find grip amid the bumper-to-bumper racing and falls behind the leaders.
- Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) – The international star finds the short-track environment challenging and finishes deep in the field.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports Chevrolet) – Stenhouse Jr. is involved in multiple incidents, pushing him toward the rear.
- Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing Toyota) – Inexperience at Martinsville leads Herbst to fade significantly.
- Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet) – Dillon’s modest package and strategic misfortunes result in a near-tail finish.
- Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) – Hocevar struggles to adapt to the extreme conditions, dropping him toward the very back.
- Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing Ford) – With one of the least competitive packages, Ware is forced into the tail end of the field.
- Casey Mears (No. 66, Garage 66 Ford) – As a deep underdog on a short track, Mears is expected to finish near the rear.
- Burt Myers (No. 50, Team AmeriVet Chevrolet) – With limited Cup experience and a lower-tier package, Myers is projected to be the final finisher.
💰 NASCAR best bets for Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
Bet | Driver | Odds | Implied win probability |
---|---|---|---|
🏆 Pick to win | Denny Hamlin | +700 | 12.50% |
💰 Best prop bet | Chase Elliott (top-5) | +125 | 44.44% |
🎯 Best long shot | Casey Mears | +250000 | 0.04% |
📺 How to watch the 2025 Cook Out 400: NASCAR at Martinsville
📅 Race date: Sunday, March 30
🕒 Start time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Martinsville Speedway (Ridgeway, Va.)
📺 TV: FS1 | Streaming: FOX Sports App
🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Cook Out 400 at Martinsville
Looking to bet on the Cook Out 400 at Martinsville Speedway? Here are our top-rated NASCAR best sports betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of today's race at 3 p.m. ET.
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